COVID-19: Chapter 10 - Mission Achomlished!

Cases are dropping precipitously near me, but we’re still a couple weeks away from Thanksgiving level and maybe two more after that to get back down to a baseline.

I’m really hoping that’s not just in time for BA.2 or some other new variant to reach here. My girlfriend has gone through a lot the last month and I want to be able to take her somewhere and do something fun. We could use a month or two of low case numbers to make that happen. :crossed_fingers:

I guess the next six months is kind of a moment of truth. Do we get a real flattening? Does Omicron become seasonal or does it rip again in 3-6 months? And we’ll get some Omicron booster data in there too…

My guess is best case is two waves a year, no more severe than Omicron if we’re lucky, each wave and each round of boosters moves us closer to flu-like severitylevels until we get to the floor of severity. Maybe eventually our bodies are good enough at fending it off that the second wave stays small. I expect the Omicron specific boosters to be over 90% effective.

Who knows how many infections or shots it takes to turn this into a flu/cold like thing? It stands to reason that we’d need variant specific boosters against a few variants to achieve that.

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