COVID-19 (2): Turns out it's going to be pretty bad actually

This can’t be true. Wireless’ brother told me all deaths are being properly counted.

This is gonna be fucking intolerable. I mean it’s for the best and all, but Jesus.

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PM ‘able to do short walks’

We’ve just had an update from Downing Street on the health of Prime Minister Boris Johnson.

A spokesman said: “The prime minister has been able to do short walks, between periods of rest, as part of the care he is receiving to aid his recovery.

“He has spoken to his doctors and thanks the whole clinical team for the incredible care he has received.

“His thoughts are with those affected by this terrible disease.”

Boris Johnson left intensive care on Thursday but remains in hospital, having been admitted on Sunday.

At least he doesn’t believe they’re being massive over-counted, like the covid denial crowd.

(Assuming based on your post, I don’t go near that thread.)

Yeah, good decision to stay away

He’d rather all Americans die than he give up his “rights” (so not happy that we are quarantining to save lives) so he’s pretty salty; mostly because his brother didn’t come to his birthday gala yesterday due to the quarantine

Based on his posts, I’m pretty sure he believes in overcounting. There is so much shit in there it is hard to wade through, so it is easily missed.

Smoking of any kind, including smoking of marihuana, increases risks of bad outcomes for coronavirus:

In other news, water is wet.

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I thought every Walmart was going to have a drive thru site.

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I saw a study that supposedly showed smokers had a better chance of beating it.

Switching gears (hopefully), this guy gets it:

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I have thrown extra cash at a shopper before. In fact a couple times I have had a low tip in app which means the sharks ignored it, and then gave a big cash tip for the person who saw the potential payout and did it anyways.

Try to help people out who are not just cherry picking orders.

Pretty much. Below are a couple slides from some UW School of Public Health modelers (a different group from IHME, for the IHME haters). They pretty clearly show that when restrictions are lifted, infections resume their upward climb.

It seems to me that this is realistic unless/until we have “herd immunity” or a vaccine.

I think it’s worth noting that even in the best case scenario, the number of infections is significant. Exponential growth means that even starting from a relatively small number, in time there will be a hell of a lot more.

Some notes about these images:

  • Numbers are for WA.
  • As noted the models are preliminary.
  • I’m not posting these to make claims about specific numbers but to show what I think are realistic projected trends.
  • If there’s interest, I can post more info from these, but I’m a bit reluctant because they were not intended for public dissemination at this point.
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I know, fortunately or unfortunately, depending on your point of view, I’ve still got work to go to.

It must be getting very hard to entertain the kids at this stage, if this was 20/15 years ago i’d say i’d be tearing my hair out.

Thankfully not a problem for me, the sisters are having a time of it, though.

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Can someone link me to some of the antibody studies that show in relatively unaffected areas people don’t have antibodies. Having trouble finding them via google.

Don’t get beaten down by people raising eyebrows at your tipping when they are perfectly fine with the grocery store employee making 25% of what you are paying the instacart shopper.

I haven’t seen anyone regale us with tales of pressing twenty dollar bills into the gloved hands of all the grocery workers when they go to the store.

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It’s hard to be too judgmental about an individual’s tipping in this case without knowing a lot more. I suspect that there is a population who is getting grocery delivery because they want to socially isolate themselves, but they’re also dealing with loss of income, so it is a huge expense for them.

It’s seems like there is this unwritten assumption that everyone who is stiffing on tips is rich enough that they shouldn’t be. I’m sure that’s not always the case, even if it is true most of the time.

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WHO advice still good…

Hancock: We follow the science on travel and masks

Matt Hancock says the (UK) government “follows the science” on coronavirus and international travel and it’s been “borne out by events”.

The same is true of the government’s policy on face masks, he adds.

And that is that they “should be saved for those who need them” most, he says.

Deputy Chief Medical Officer Jonathan Van Tam calls the wearing of face masks by the public a “vexed” issue. There “just isn’t the evidence base” to support this as advice, Prof Van Tam adds.

He also says closing the UK’s borders will “not work” in stopping the transmission of coronavirus.

https://mobile.twitter.com/frankieboyle/status/1248645446303612928

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https://mobile.twitter.com/lewis_goodall/status/1248645585239973888