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She grew up where I live. Plaque dedicated to her recently at a park. Met her daughter.
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Interesting. But if R0 is higher that still has the societal impact of more morbidity.
This is odd, isnât viral load associated with outcomes? So shouldnât more viral load = worse outcomes? (Iâll admit, I didnât read the article. Iâm too tired right now to read anything complex.)
Yeah also I canât tell from their writeup whether they accounted for age in that analysis. Like if the average age of patients is 5 years younger but outcomes are the same, then thatâs worse.
Most likely age is the third variable there, i.e. greater age predicts both higher viral load (due to decreased immunocompetence) and worse outcomes.
Edit: Iâm really speculating, like higher viral load does = worse outcomes for viruses generally, but maybe not for COVID where it seems to hinge on whether you develop specific lung pathology or not, maybe thatâs down to factors other than viral load.
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So this would mean that the newer strain is worse in lethality, but also infects more younger people which pulls the overall rate back down a bit - even though itâs got a higher mortality rate for them, too.
Well⌠I would sort of assume they accounted for age in their analysis as itâs an obvious variable to account for, but from the cursory read I gave their writeup I couldnât see where it specifically said they had.
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Last evil thought before turning in. Can we get the Q people to start gathering in large numbers wo masks to support trump. Put some old school van grafenberg machines up as protection to zap any airborne viruses so itâs safe. Maybe they could all sing songs together?
Thatâs it cause if I touch my spreadsheets Iâm up until 2.
Nice finds on the mutations, mate. Gânight. Crikey.
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Gonna be a lot of babies born named Corona 9 months after Trump dies from the virus.
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Man people pick some weird baby names.
In the Czech Republic, thereâs actually a government-approved list of baby names that parents must choose from. Canât name your kid Spoon or Sword or shit like that.
I think there are exceptions for foreign couples in some circumstances though. For example, most of my Vietnamese students donât have Czech first names even though they were born in the Czech Republic.
Still anxiously awaiting President Nancy Pelosi.
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So youâre saying theyâre Pho Czechs?
Maybe the practice should be bahned.
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Why do you say 90k by Memorial Day? That would be 15 days after you predict 80k
Do you really think we are gonna suddenly drop to <1k/day immediately next week?
You should be saying 100k easy by Memorial Day
Ah, that makes sense
Mexico looks to really be exploding right now. Another data point that makes it look like summer is unlikely to save the day in the US.
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Most of the people in Mexico live at altitude in dry air.
The hot parts in the Yucatan and South are fairing a little better.