I don’t think the states doing hospitalizations are using only test results. It doesn’t seem to jump around like cases.
They’re probably including presumptive positives - basically anyone being treated as if they have covid - which is what would matter to them to determine capacity.
I’m in Essex County, MA (just north of Boston) and one of my good friends with symptoms (Fever, cough) for 7+ days was told by her doctor on Saturday she could not get a test unless she knew someone that had tested positive or had recently travelled (wtf?) to whatever country. They told her to call back if she had trouble breathing.
It is a conundrum. If you are in New York right now and get sick at what point do you go to the hospital without an actual positive test? Do you want to have something much milder and go to the hospital and potentially get more sick while being in miserable conditions?
There is nothing about any of this that really makes people want to rush to the hospital when they think they might have it.
In NSW and QLD the most popular sport is rugby league. For reasons I don’t fully understand, NRL games get really small crowds, everyone just watches the game on TV. That makes it a good candidate for something the NRL are pompously calling “Project Apollo”:
The idea is to create a “bubble” in which players live - possibly booking out a resort or something like that - within striking distance of several stadiums, at which games can be played without crowds. The players from all teams would be kept separate from the outside world. The NRL was suspended after the first two rounds, they are now hoping the season can recommence in late May.
I was thinking the NBA might be able to do the same thing? I wonder if they’ll consider doing this if it looks like the 2020 season won’t be able to start on time.
Atlanta closed schools on March 12th (30 cases). Shelter in place order was effective on the 24th (5000 cases). NY absolutely could have and should have moved more quickly.
I think whether you have it or not, you should not be going to the hospital unless you have trouble breathing. A hospital is a terrible place to be when you’re sick. And if you’re having trouble breathing, it also doesn’t matter if you have it or not because you need to go to the hospital.
I’m not saying this to detract from the larger point, but I’m reminded of that scene from House when he explains that the DNA test doesn’t ACTUALLY cost thousands of dollars - they own the machine.