People are wearing masks at grocery stores. More than half. Stores aren’t busy. Lines stretch out a bit to get into stores because they are limiting the people inside and lines are long when people are 6’ apart.
I went to a jobsite today. One guy was painting a 4000sf house all by himself and I was alone on the roof.
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https://twitter.com/NAChristakis/status/1248228331352461312
Germany did a study on a hard hit town - looks like 14% show antibodies. Might be about where NYC and/or NY state ends up.
From the comments - .37% is IFR - but 1/3 of the cases are still sick so it will go up.
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Seems actually slightly positive although no where near herd immunity numbers and has a sample size of one town. Much better than the stuff you guys posted that said basically no one had antibodies.
Need a lot more of these.
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I feel genuinely bad for you, bud :( it sucks being married into a family of lunatics like this
Yeah we are at 18,562 right now with more to go today
We will 100% hit 20k tomorrow even with slower weekend reporting.
We’ll hit 30k next week.
At least my wife is normal and laughs at them also; she does more pushing back on them while I mostly bite my tongue because nothing I say matters (not that what she says matters either)
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Out and about in LA trip report: I had to go to my office to sign some checks so I drove back on a long stretch of Wilshire (a busy commercial street). I would say 75% of the people I saw were wearing masks, including some homeless people. I saw more than a few people with masks pulled under their chins while they talked on the phone or something. I award them zero points. I did see a bunch of people running/jogging without masks, which as a runner annoys me. Seems obvious that if you’re an asymptomatic carrier, going for a run down a busy sidewalk would be a great way to expose a ton of people.
This was a town that got very hard hit. Not a random sample of Germany.
So I guess that is actually quite bad then? Only 14% having antibodies after a bad hit. Damn.
I wonder when NY will get around to adding the home deaths…would put them over 10k and the country already at 21k
Right - which is about where NY might end up. Long way from herd immunity. But it’s a start!
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I’m pretty proud of JB Pritzker here in IL and my GOP family is happy with him too. Good omen for November, not that IL has a chance of flipping, but downballot hopefully
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20k deaths after tomorrow is a 100% lock unless people just stop counting because it’s Saturday.
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Herd Immunity blows as a strategy. See:1918
200,000,000x0.5%=
As Dr evil would say “one million”
(And that’s best best case).
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Ah well, if that’s close to the ifr in the United States we only have between 20 and 40x more people to get this before we hit 60% immunity (assuming our death count is between perfectly accurate up to 2 times the current number).
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Easter weekend, nobody got time to count dead people.
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I went for fast food tonight and paid with my credit card using touchless or tap meaning you just wave your credit card over the machine. You never have to touch anything or enter any code.
I don’t think this is a big thing in the states is it?
Seems like a godsend at these times.
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Very weak evidence that France is actually reporting COVID deaths pretty well. They’ve made efforts to include care homes in their stats now and the national stats institute has just published about all deaths going up to April 3rd. Up until COVID really started to hit here in mid March 2020 was roughly the same as 2019, and about 4k behind 2018 (which was a bad flu year.) It caught up 2018 on the 29th of March and must now be significantly higher.
The ‘good’ news is that the last day of the total deaths stats is Apr 3rd and there were then about 3,300 more deaths than in 2019 (the year 2020 had been tracking until the outbreak started). On that day France had already reported 6,507 COVID deaths. Weak evidence for now, but seems hopeful that here at least there isn’t lots of hidden deaths.
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Huh… WTF is this remark all about, unless I’m missing some context this post is horrible
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