The change for Italy was yesterday part of the main affected region reported slightly late so the cases didnt get added til today.
I did see a reddit post yesterday that the original cities in Italy that were locked down around two weeks ago had seen a significant dropoff in cases. So hopefully that dropoff appears soon for the other areas.
Crude projection for the number of cases in the US based on the last week using the same method as before:
March 12: 1810
March 13: 2440
March 14: 3289
March 15: 4434
March 16: 5977
March 17: 8057
March 18: 10862
March 19: 14643
March 20: 19739
March 21: 26610
March 22: 35872
March 23: 48358
March 24: 65191
March 25: 87882
Good to hear that my mother, despite her Trumpiness, is taking this seriously.
Not sure how comfortable I’ll feel going to work Monday. Sure it’s just teachers and only for the morning but it still sucks. A meeting of 4-5 dozen teachers in one room seems like a horrible idea but it appears to be compulsory.
So, like, if this is novel coronavirus the NBA isn’t going to play without crowds. They’re going to suspend games for a couple weeks, at least… then play without crowds.