I think we are already seeing the start of a crush in the Seattle area. Hopefully it gets covered extensively in the media and that wakes up the rest of the country. I guess it also depends on the excess capacity in the first hard hit areas in the US versus whatever is was in Lombardi. And also if the first hard hit areas did any prep at all, which is possible as we had more warning than Lombardy.
America’s tested less than 6000 people out of a population of 331 million. That’s 18 tests per million people. Italy has performed 42000 tests on a population of 61 million people. That’s 688 tests per million people.
Gotta wonder how many people have it that haven’t been tested for whatever reason.
Czech Republic ain’t doing that great testing either. So far just 73 tests per million. But at the same time, the virus has only been in the country for a week. 200 of their nearly 800 tests so far were done just yesterday. The first coronavirus case in America showed up on January 21st! Testing should be going on way faster by now!
3 weeks was out of my own head (ass?) based on media coverage and the idea that we have less than 10% of the deaths so far (double every 5-6 days so need ~3 weeks from 20 to 300+).
But I can buy 9 days, especially with the size of the US so when we compare over localized areas vs Italy. Getting into facilities full of susceptible people will pour gas on the numbers.
Seattle seems to be on edge of tipping to resource problems. NY will get there in a couple of weeks. If it hits a rural system it could overwhelm in under a week.
Of course date here is so sparse and suspect at that.
Is there a good resource for state reporting as the federal government has been an abject failure?