As a TV watcher this is quite a bummer. They are going to lose momentum after their best season in a while.
I think you can play with variables so that high mortality doesn’t reduce spreading, but it generally does. For one thing, if you are incubating this kind of thing asymptomatically you aren’t spewing snot everywhere.
AIDS otoh, with a long asymptomatic period, spread just about as well because it requires more intimate contact anyway and it basically could never have spread without that long generally symptom free period.
What about a slowly escalating one? Like you start off with a cold for a week or two, then you slowly start spiraling into 50% morality rate or something.
Anybody with cold symptoms would be isolated from the population. (Except in Iran and the USA where sticking head in sand if the preferred response.)
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Just saw this, and asthma does seem to count as a respiratory disease here - previously I’d read it had no impact on mortality rate of COVID-19. Looks like my risk of death is way higher than my age (33) would otherwise indicate… Enough so to reconsider my plans/precautions.
There are at least 4 of us that I know of (5 if that includes you) we should really get a bay area/east bay unstuck meetup going once this coronavirus thing wears off.
Jman’s point is something often true, but not always. The question is, how long does a person spend walking around spreading it?
If I get a runny nose, the possibility of getting stuck with a $1500 bill for a test will play a big part in my decision.
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Bay area lurker here. Trying to decide whether I should go to Bay 101 today…
What?
No.
What?
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“Nobody puts a pathogen in a corner” (um, that doesn’t quite work).
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Don’t leave your house
Bay 5150
Ok I’m staying home
Currently heading to the casino in Philly, possibly for the last time for awhile. Question to everyone: if you played for a living, how long would you keep playing before locking it down for a while? No known cases in the area, but obviously with the incubation period it’s impossible to know for sure.
I’m already skipping the WSOP circuit in a week, given that so many people (dealers and players) travel from stop to stop, and players would likely be coming from NYC, Philly and Baltimore for it. Debating how long to keep playing cash locally.
I do have asthma as well. Financially I’m comfortable if I have to miss time, but obviously there’s an opportunity cost there.
My wife going to her Pilates class now. I’m pretty sure she’s trying to kill me.
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At your age I wouldn’t alter my day to day in any way, but everyone is different. I bought some water and a few other staples, that all I’m planning on doing. My view might be skewed as I work around sick people and couldn’t possibly avoid it if I wanted to.
Thanks for bumming me out cuse.
To be fair I’m not surprised though. I have been hospitalized thrice with pneumonia in last 12 years.