I assume so. That’s why social distancing slows stuff down.
Dear Leader must always be effusively praised before all else.
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There’s an entire subreddit dedicated to mapping out coronavirus cases all over the world
https://www.reddit.com/r/CovidMapping/comments/fe3su3/covid19_map/
That said, they’re a bit off when it comes to the CR but it’s forgivable.
It’s going to be way more likely that, say, 30% contract the virus, but we only know that 20% of them (so 6% overall) contracted it due to them showing symptoms or whatever.
As a result, when it’s lifted, ~30% have immunity. Then if people take a few more precautions than they were a month ago, maybe 40% of the remaining 70% get it, and you’re essentially seeing a volume of cases that matches the lockdown and that hospitals can manage.
I’m just guessing numbers here, but I’m trying to illustrate the point that even if we don’t have herd immunity, the curve may be flat enough after the lockdown is lifted that even if it spreads, hospitals can handle it.
Maybe even after the lockdown you take relatively light steps to try to reduce spread still - asking businesses in communities to stagger their work hours a bit, ask them to try to have employees who can WFH do so once or twice a week on a rolling basis, and urging everyone with any symptoms of any cold to stay home and WFH.
I wouldn’t stop getting exercise right now, that’s important.
Obviously I am not a doctor, etc, etc, but I did stay at a Holiday Inn Express last night… Well either that or I read the Chinese report on all of the symptoms/treatments.
Given your location, IMO it’s pretty likely that you do have COVID-19 given your symptoms. If you experience any shortness of breath, I think you should go to the ER immediately. Your age makes it unlikely that you will have a severe case, but it’s not impossible. Depending on your level of concern, you may want to get a pulse oximeter on Amazon shipped to you ($15-20) and keep an eye on it. If your blood O2 gets down below 93%, it’s time to go to the hospital based on the findings in China.
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We have a gym in the apartment. We wouldn’t stop excersing, just stop going to a public gym.
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Sounds like a no brainer IMO.
Fly to Scotland instead, we don’t leave the sick out in the cold like england
Yikes! 23 new cases today in the Czech Republic! From 38 to 61 cases!
They must have known this announcement was coming and wanted to get ahead of it.
That one community-spread infection was enough to get 20+ more. Speaking of him:
Source: Rychlý nárůst. V Česku už je 63 lidí nakažených novým koronavirem - iDNES.cz
Friends of ours work at an international school in Paris. Last week they got told that the school has bought Zoom and that when the shutdown order comes they will continue to teach that way. There will be a familiarisation class this week.
I’m not a teacher, but it sounds like an absolute joke of a situation.
I wouldn’t be surprised to see the school try that. Some teachers at my school have set up Google Groups for their classes but let’s be honest, there aren’t going to be any lessons taught. They might give a bunch of homework to do over the 3 weeks and check it when they get back but that’s pretty much it. No way are students going to jump online for class if they aren’t familiar with the concept of online learning in advance.
Maybe this is true but I’m skeptical.
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I skim through this thread pretty quickly whenever I get a couple of minutes to catch up on the 200 unread posts I haven’t yet seen, but remarkably I always run into your updates from CR and I want you to know one regular reader of this thread appreciates your efforts to keep us in the know and also finds it oddly comforting. Thank you
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Hey you’re welcome.
I suppose it’s comforting because it’s good to see some competence in dealing with the virus somewhere in the world.
I mean it’s not perfect. The announcement for drastic changes came this afternoon because the politicians likely knew that the announcement of a 50% increase in cases was coming tonight.
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Or as we call it the “Trolly-Keeeeeeed” plan. Nice.
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Just pulled the coronavirus card on my kid, as she has located sub-$100 Billie Eilish tickets on Stub Hub.
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This is all pretty sound, but it doesn’t account for the fact that our public response is being directed by people who don’t care about protecting Americans, don’t know what they’re doing and are solely focused on buttressing Trump’s chances of reelection. There’s a huge difference between taking smart, targeted steps, even if they seem “extreme,” if they can get you in front of a general epidemic, and taking drastic steps after they have no chance of preventing widespread infection. The meme about softening the peak has taken over everyone’s brains, but the benefit of doing that is much less than the benefit of everyone not getting sick in the first place. ESPECIALLY when the drastic steps are going to be taken by the Trump administration. The fact is that the administration blew whatever chance we had of avoiding this outbreak, so it’s on people to take reasonable self-quarantine/hygiene/etc steps and accept that there’s not going to be any useful action from the federal government and probably not much from local government either.
In that vein, it’s appropriate to hammer the Trump admin for bungling testing to identify the early stages of the outbreak, when it might have been contained, but I’m not sure why people are so excited about testing now. As a poker player, you know well that information is only as valuable as the decisions it lets you make. Right now, testing or no, everyone should be keeping to themselves when feeling at all ill, avoiding travel and large gatherings, washing hands as much as possible, etc. The virus could be anywhere.
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