Betting on Sports

Today I got the over in dal/lac teased down to 50.5
Pats ML
Chiefs ML
tb ML
Bills ML

Close but ultimately got there

Got a voicemail from a special agent with the IGB this evening. I’ll give him a call back tomorrow. I’m still not expecting anything to come of it, but it at least feels good to know someone will listen.

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https://twitter.com/BFawkes22/status/1439968147805671428?s=19

Draftkings has Goff o300 yards boosted to +310. Seems pretty juicy

Don’t do it. He sucks

Oh dear God if he doesn’t hedge this…

The Lions WR corps is made up of spare parts and Goff’s arm strength is worse than your average high school QB.

Counterpoint the Lions have an elite TE, a couple good RBs who can get some YAC from all the checkdowns, and the Packers defense may be a tire fire. Also if the Packers score a bunch early the Lions will have to go to the air. The game could turn into a shootout. 300 yards is a big ask tho.

I actually kinda like Lions ML tonight.

The Packers might just kinda stink. And while I don’t think the Lions are very good, they’re at least a somewhat competitive brand of below average NFL team. 11.5-12 points is too much when the favorite has one data point and it’s a total stinker.

one total data point with mostly the same team as the NFC title game guys is some unreal logic to me

your only point is the packers DC is the Lions 0-16 DC, so that’s why they might really suck

The Lions have no secondary and they’re facing some team definitely known to be trash on offense

The packers also might really suck because Rodgers doesn’t want to be there and DGAF.

Or it’s all fairly random and depends on the bounce of an oblong ball

Y’all think this boost is +EV? Seems close. (BOL)

He had 300+ in week one vs a better defense, granted most in garbage time

Tyrell Williams is WR#1 and is out with a concussion and Kalif Raymond WR#2 is questionable with a thigh. WR3 is a rookie slot guy, WR4 is a second year 6th rounder who ran a 4.8 40 and WR5 is a Denver roster bubble guy they traded for before cut down day. They are hurting big time for pass catching weapons.

Let me know how it goes. Wonder if it actually leads to anything.

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Cephus looks solid

I took over 49.5 tonight, if I hit it probably means Loons cover their number as well (which my guy had down to 11.5 at kickoff) but I like betting the over more than betting either of these teams to cover so that’s what I did glglgl

Just got off the phone with him. Nice guy and he was looking to make sure he understood what I was complaining about. He said he’ll call me back when there’s some type of conclusion to his investigation, so I’ll let you know what happens.

That’s good to hear. I’m kind of disappointed Illinois hasn’t gotten a new sportsbook in nearly 6 months. Figured we would have gotten at least one or two prior to the start of the NFL/NCAA season.