Betting on Sports

draftkings has $25 on conor mcgregor at even

absolutely no idea why they decided to do that, every book already getting hammered on conor at any price

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Was about to post foxbet has a Special: Conor by KO, TKO, DQ at even. No limit.
Wtf is going on?

I snooze, I lose. Limit is now $10.

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wasn’t gonna touch the fight damn you sportsbook promos

edit–at least reddit got pwned

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Same. I have zero interest in UFC and very rarely bet it but got hosed because of all of the promos that were supposedly locks or great value.

Any good NFL props today? I think I’m Joe Q Public on the games themselves.

Pack -4 (I screwed up and bet the opening line) and the under.

Bills +3 and the over.

I’m also debating these FD promos:

Pointsbet Rodgers 3+ TD’s at +170 is decent in the odds booster section

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ORLY_OWL.JPG
Could this be the great turnaround I need?

If Green Bay wins it could be

PointsBet with KC -3.5 even money.

I didn’t post it earlier since it wasn’t much but I had a laugh at one point through their no vig promo you could’ve arbed the bills/chiefs game with themselves. if I had a sizeable roll there I would’ve debated #yolo’ing getting banned for it. They’re lazy like that on weekends but I haven’t been able to get them hard for it quite yet.

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Okay then

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I made two preseason Superbowl winner bets. One on TB at +1600 the day they signed Brady. Another one on KC at +5500 for $1 on a DK promo. This was back before I was really into sports betting so I unfortunately didn’t bet much, but it’s still satisfying to be guaranteed profit now.

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I’m on this too so I hope this side comes in. Nice bets tho.

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FYI DK with a 55% profit boost on a Super Bowl bet.

So DraftKings does sports betting now?

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They have for a while but only in select states.

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A few sites had pick a team for a buck or a freeroll for like $50 each, took KC on all of them obviously. Too easy and no I didn’t and will not arb any of it.

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So, survivor pool is down to 13 players. Top 3 pay 50/30/20.

Evidently there is a Super Bowl points tiebreaker that i didn’t know about and I’m a bit perplexed about the strategy here. I think it might lead more people to take Tampa Bay hoping they can get paid without having to win a big tiebreaker.

(By the way, the reason I didn’t know the rule is because the dude running the pool is in his 90s, dude’s rules are totally incomplete. I don’t think he makes anything up on the fly, I think he just does the same thing he’s been doing for 30 years and expects everyone to know lol.)

What do you guys think is the optimal strategy here? I’m thinking you would want to stray a decent bit from the o/u if you pick the Chiefs but not if you take the Bucs? If you go with 56 for the Chiefs, you could be middling yourself and have to hit almost exactly on that point for a chop. If you go with 45, though, you beat the guy(s) with 56 all the way up to 50. I think the question here is how far down/up to go from the o/u. to give yourself the most outs to win if you take the Chiefs, but if you take the Bucs you can let others make the “error” without worrying so much about getting surrounded on both flanks.

Any thoughts on this?

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When do you have to enter your pick by? Probably want to wait as long as possible in case any covid issues pop up on either team.

Haha, with the old dude running it who knows when I get an angry email. I won’t submit for awhile. There are people with AOL addresses that are on the email list since old dude doesn’t know what a blind CC is. I’m hoping some of them do a reply all and I get info. Or maybe I should throw out a bogus smokescreen.

Oddly it would actually be beneficial to let people know I’m taking Tampa Bay, reducing their likelihood of doing so too.