better lines from fanduel today too on the hr props for the better ones
this better be a dinger of a day
If you happen to find any value on HRs, appreciate a heads up
1st game in half an hour. Soto or JBell the choice right?
Probably taking the favorites spread again tonight. Jazz blew my parlay last night. Should have known better than have any trust in the Jazz succeeding.
Timberwolves game has me a bit weary. Seems like a matchup nightmare.
I only follow the Tigers closely but Torkelson +750 is my pick over there. He started out cold, but hit well last week and has two taters in his last four games.
torkelson is +1200 on ceasars and way better odds than fd everywhere else put a unit on it but it’s a no go for this prop at the fd price for me
Even his “cold” stretch he was smoking the ball
k, I’m gonna write that post up in easier to read form, will edit this for other games/in order a bit later (all +'s are fanduel’s)
DINGER TUESDAY CHEAT SHEET (purely from line shopping, so not financial advice)
Giants Mets game in 10 minutes, I just took Alonso +380 was higher than elsewhere and I ain’t gonna look with no time
Cards vs Marlins, pick Arenado at +440 (no is -500 on dk, 480 on bet rivers), you can also pick Garcia, aguilar , soler, sanchez, or even pujols but I took arenado.
Cubs vs Rays, take Suzuki or Wisdom
Game 2 Dbacks vs Nats, fanduel took down the lines so blank for now forgot who I took
Game 2 Mets vs Giants fanduel lines are up but nobody else’s are so i don’t remember
Pirates vs Brewers, not a single players best line is on fanduel so whatever nothing good here
Twins vs Royals, Perez is +295/-300 mgm, you can take mondesi for the long shot or like carlos santana I guess but just take perez and move on to the next game
Angels vs Astros, Ohtani, Tucker, Gurriel, Pena if you wanna long shot it, nothing great here but those are the best fd lines
Yankees vs Tigers, no great value here, just take Donaldson, Judge, or Stanton or Hicks (all highest on fanduel)
Red Sox vs Jays, I took JD martinez +440, story is also highest on fd at +430, basically stuck with one of those two
Phillies vs Rockies, Rhys Hoskins +230/-250(mgm), Connor Joe +520/-560 (bet rivers, dk has -600), most people in this game though, the best odds are on fanduel, so you can take castellaneos with a deep drive to left field and it’s a 4-2 ballgame if you want (+295/-330 on dk), or if you want someone else go for it, cj cron is fine too
Rangers vs Mariners, Adolis Garcia is +370, -375 mgm as of this post. Suarez is +530/-550 DK, Seimen is +385/-400 mgm pick one of those
Reds vs Padres, Votto is +450/-525 (DK), Machado, Voit, Nola, Pham all have best odds on fd tho if you wanna pick one of those instead
Orioles vs A’s TBD (mancini I guess but I’ll revisit this later)
Braves vs Dodgers, take Ozuna or Mookie, Ozuna is +500/-550 (dk, everywhere basically) Mookie isn’t far off.
(cws/cle was postponed)
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Anyone have a good replacement for oddsjam to find zero hold bets and best bets for free bet conversions? They used to only have their arbs behind a paywall, but have now moved everything to a paid service.
I got oddsboom from this topic but dunno what’s paid and what isn’t since I decided to pay for it.
Here are my Dinger Tuesday plays for P1 and P2. Used matchup xSLG and line shopping a little. Haven’t bet game 2 for ARI/WAS yet.
P1
| Joc Pederson (SF/NYM) Game 1 | 460 |
|---|---|
| Jose Abreu (CWS/CLE) | 480 |
| Albert Pujols (STL/MIA) | 570 |
| Aaron Judge (NYY/DET) | 350 |
| Joc Pederson (SF/NYM) Game 2 | 590 |
| Alex Verdugo (TOR/BOS) | 750 |
| Bryan Reyolds (PIT/MIL) | 750 |
| Seiya Suzuki (TB/CHC) | 530 |
| Yordan Alvarez (LAA/HOU) | 275 |
| Salvador Perez (MIN/KC) | 295 |
| CJ Cron (PHI/COL) | 320 |
| Nick Solak (TEX/SEA) | 810 |
| Joey Votto (CIN/SD) | 460 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL/LAD) | 500 |
| Juan Soto (ARI/WAS) Game 1 | 530 |
| Sean Murphy (BAL/OAK) | 385 |
P2
| Brandon Belt (SF/NYM) Game 1 | 430 |
|---|---|
| Luis Robert (CWS/CLE) | 420 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL/MIA) | 410 |
| Austin Meadows (NYY/DET) | 560 |
| Brandon Belt (SF/NYM) Game 2 | 490 |
| Vladimir Guerrero (TOR/BOS) | 310 |
| Kebryan Hayes (PIT/MIL) | 1100 |
| Wander Franco (TB/CHC) | 700 |
| Kyle Tucker (LAA/HOU) | 590 |
| Hunter Dozier (MIN/KC) | 560 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI/COL) | 300 |
| Maybe Heim? Check Later | |
| Brandon Drury (CIN/SD) | 750 |
| Matt Olson (ATL/LAD) | 440 |
| Josh Bell (ARI/WAS) Game 1 | 450 |
| Trey Mancini (BAL/OAK) | 660 |
1 Like
those fanduel brewers pirates lines are atrocious, reynolds is probably the “best” choice I guess or adames or hayes maybe bleh I haven’t bet the O’s/A’s yet nothing stands out so I’m gonna wait
edit–joc just hit in game 1
I’ll post my HR bets later today around 530pm. I like to wait for starting lineups to be announced. Have two accounts. Hit 1 with Varsho already so solid start.
Skipped 2 games so far.
SF/NYM gm2 is Webb vs Scherzer. Don’t see a lot of HR being hit there.
bal/oak - From sun going down to dead ballpark at night, not a good HR park.
Waiting for a couple more lineups but so far:
GL to all
DingerTuesday
25 tw 165 Cesar Hernandez (Wsh) gm1
25 tw 115 JSoto (WSH) gm2
25 tw 87.5 GStanton (NYY)
25 tw 110 JDMartinez (BOS)
25 tw 102.5 NArenado (Mia)
25 tw 71 SPerez (KC)
25 tw 130 Connor Joe (Col)
25 tw 95 AGarcia (TEx)
25 tw 112 JVOtto (Cin)
25 tw 115 MYastrzemski (SF) gm1
25 tw 135 WContreras (CHC)
25 tw 140 KTucker(Hou)
25 tw 187 BReynolds (PITT)
25 tw 125 JTurner (LAD)
sf/nym gm 2, bal/oak
7:30 eastern and 2 total homeruns, come on
edit–ended up taking mountcastle for the O’s game but don’t mind anyone who skipped it or picked someone else, let’s gogogogo
8 eastern–ugh, I’m on pace to get absolutely rekt
No goals in the NHL, No HRs in MLB.
-$300 and $25 in free bets here we come
