line is now dead when I was typing this up but got my best arb in awhile (which is sad I stopped paying attention) Poku O 5.5 assists +116 fanduel U5.5 assists +120 elsewhere (you probably can still get -105 or something vs the latter tho)
lots of good stuff today with opening day and masters
there is an arb of course, small amount but not bad % wise, rory vs kopeka, take rory with the daily boost on draftkings, take kopeka with the daily boost on bet rivers for $25 each side.
So this is how I thought the promo worked when I first started betting it last summer before this thread set me straight and informed me I could bet every game. My strategy then was I picked the game with the highest o/u total assuming that would correlate well to most dingers, and bet a player from there.
As far as I can tell all of the home run and hit props are terrible value. Same as Nhl and goal props. If they don’t offer the don’t side, probably scamming.
from what I’ve noticed fan duel HR props are way way lowered this year overall for overs but there will be some that aren’t so gonna be on them, man enough people complained and it’s every game again is nice
only real reason for this is the east is bad, the west has to play each other and the reds and the pirates are in the division with unbalanced division oriented schedules, Suzuki’s been great so far. (yes I know some of those nerd sites have them at like 10%, well what do they know) ie, someone in the central is going to win a bunch more games than they would’ve anywhere else
put another $25 on Suzuki to win MVP +3500
at this pace he’d be in the convo and baseball voters don’t shun voting for japanese players and he’s in a major market, if the alternatives are out west, he probably wins the tiebreaker of “east coast voters don’t watch west coast games”
I also have $25 at +6600, wish I just plunked down the 50 ball then oh well I didn’t know he really could be that good
FYI this may be common knowledge, but I figured it out by mistake - the FanDuel free bets can be broken up and made in any demonination. So you can spray them on an array of reasonable +1000 parleys and get almost face value over time.