Betting on Sports

A disaster recovery plan is not complete unless it is tested. Lots of this going on, I’m sure: In the beginning, there was a plan, and then came the assumptions,

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If they got hacked and have no money then request a WD now won’t matter cause they won’t have any money

If you want and they still don’t have money. We can both figure it out.

DK with a pretty solid BJ promo to get free bets for the superb owl

Running a $300 squares pool on 2p2 in the Sports Betting subforum if anyone’s interested.

Got a 1009-MISC from fox bet. From their daily casino bonus and blackjack insurance.

Makes it not worth much when I’m taking a 25% haircut on all these promos.

I got one as well. It pretty much aligns with my net profit on just the BJ promo so still works out well for me. Would suck if you run bad overall for the year on that promo and then get hit with the 1099 though.

I don’t want post there but can I reserve 1 if there’s still some available by the time you see this? Will escrow

Yeah I’ll reserve 1 for you. Will PM escrow details.

While it’s still up, Wagner is listed on Fanduel at +220 to win their conference tournament.

They’re like 6 points better than everyone else in conference on Kenpom, overwhelmingly likely to get the 1 seed and have HCA for all 3 games of the conf tourney.

Insane value.

already down to 200, though looking at it very quickly, they only beat bryant at home by 3 in OT (the main threat) and just had two close games against the worst conf teams on the road, and still have to play at bryant. Maybe value but not insane.

They have a way easier schedule than Bryant down the stretch, so even if they lose @ Bryant they’re likely to get the 1 seed in the tourney.

That would likely have them as needing to win 3 games where they’re -18, -12ish, and worst case -5 to -6 against Bryant in the final.

Also, in the 2 close calls on the road, KP had their minimum win % at 79.7% and 82.5%

I just looked at down the stretch and that’s obviously not easier than bryant’s but it doesn’t matter.

got VIP on Sugarhouse (Betrivers clone), looks like its worth something like $1k/month in value. Hope I don’t get limited.

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Draftkings is offering me a $100 freebet for every $1000 wagered on the Superbowl. Just realized that I can manufacture a negative hold line on the coin toss. Considering placing 5 grand on tails.

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Do it

Is negative hold. An arb

Brutal week for Houston. Have to win vs SMU in a couple of weeks now.

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I figure that the free bets are worth around 70 bucks or so. Assuming you wager in $1000 increments that makes for about 7% cashback on your bets (plus whatever the crowns are worth) - so anything that doesn’t have an unusually bad hold/vig becomes +ev. My issue is that I have no opinion at all on the game lol. The coin toss line is -105 so that works out at about 45 bucks profit per 1000.

I guess you could hedge it for a small profit too, didn’t think of that.

Yeah they’re really struggling with ball pressure. Sucks to go from -1600 to win the conference to now in a dog fight because they gacked a couple away.

So I’m to about 30 SB wagers. 90% are promos or boosts of some type. Mostly $10, $20 or $50. Plus both sides of the coin flip at even odds (Lol wagering requirements not excluding coin flip)

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