Scalise is probably more conservative than McCarthy.
However, thereâs no world in which Scalise gives more concessions to the holdouts than McCarthy (eg plum committee assignments)
Will the holdouts be sufficiently pacified with McCarthyâs scalp and move on? Who knows, but possibly?
I think they will have to be. There isnât really another choice, and at some point they will want to move on to impeaching Joe Biden and such.
Basically either McCarthy waives the white flag now or he goes a few more votes and starts losing support. At that point the optics gets bad because it looks like heâs putting himself above the party and then a compromise candidate (Scalise, Stefanik, etc) gets nominated.
Also note when I say âcompromiseâ we arenât talking about policy differences because the GOP doesnât do policy, but I guess compromising on how much they dislike the person.
Also, Scalise was in leadership when the freedom caucus torpedoed John Boehnerâs speakership in October 2015. McCarthy was majority leader and Scalise was majority whip. Eventually they settled on Ryan. Scalise has seen this before and didnât want any part of this mess back then.
I would not sleep on Stefanikâs chances here at all, being newer to the leadership like Ryan was.
I got an idea for a compromise candidate:
FENTANYL!
I have not been following. Who does the freedom caucus want as a compromise candidate?
Nobody they want it all to burn.
They are just nominating other members of the freedom caucus so far
So what happens if the GOP can never pick a speaker of the house? Does Pelosi keep it?
There just isnât a functioning House until a Speaker is picked (elected members are not even sworn in). In 1855 it took 2 months.
I assume most of this is self-imposed via House rules rather than via law/Constitution, so maybe in theory a majority vote of the House could suspend certain rules to get some business done. Others probably know more and can explain.
edit: apparently there is a Federal law that says that elected members cannot be sworn in until the election of a Speaker. So basically right now there are zero duly elected members of the House. Therefore the House cannot vote to change rules. The only way out is to elect a Speaker.
A+ system of govt.
This guy is bringing me down.
A majority can move to change the speakership vote to a plurality, and this has happened twice before.
of course, thatâs not going to happen here because that would make hakeem jeffries speaker.
Thanks for that info
I think he thinks this town is broken.
NBZ prefers McCarthy because Scalise is more resistant to bullets.