Who will run in 2020?

https://twitter.com/VicBergerIV/status/1202678252566798337

It’s definitely “Look, f-”. Sounds like “Look, Fat-” suggesting “Fatty” but I think it might have been “Look, fella” and just a regular stutter. Can’t tell.

For that to happen Sanders+Warren need about 66% of the pledged delegates because super-delegates make up about 15% of the second round vote.

Yeah but the crowd ohhed about what he said in response unless I’m missing something. He clearly said ‘fat…’ Maybe he was just saying fatefully or fatality.

THIS FUCKING GUY

“My party’s not known for worrying about the deficit or the debt too much but it’s time for us to start getting into that,” Mayor Pete says in NH town hall in response to voter anxious about debt.

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They ohhed because it sounded like he said “fat”, I’m just saying he might not have.

https://twitter.com/virgiltexas/status/1202680232215535618

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Oh he definitely called him fat.

“You don’t even have any more backbone than Trump does.”

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R.I.P.

Pete’s numbers will rise in the later states accordingly if he does well in the first four. He’s already 2nd in many states in predictit odds as a result of this.

Harris just dropped, that’s 8 points in CA that are getting dispersed and well, I’d guess Biden gets the majority of those.

If Pete would use the argument to tax the fuck out of rich people, I could get behind that.

But instead he’s going to use this framing as a way to get to Medicare for All Over the Age of 64.9 because we can’t afford more than that.

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oh I agree he’s never winning SC but he doesn’t have to, he just needs to do well in the first two to get attention for the way more friendly Pete states on super tuesday.

err–maybe not, most of those states aren’t Pete states.

I don’t think the Super Tuesday states look that friendly to Pete.

Nah, support for Biden in CA is dropping off, hopefully some of the Kamala supporters move over to Bernie
https://twitter.com/ThisAlexTin/status/1202609562794123264

Do we have state by state polling? I have a completely uninformed hot take that Pete will crush Virginia, solely based on the people I’ve met from Virginia.

yeah I was just looking it up, CO/TN/NC/ME if I’m being generous. VA definitely in play for him though.

MN depends on a lot on what happens to Klob and if she drops out then (you’d presume so but who knows, she might stick around just to try to win her state) where those voters actually go.

yes but it’s sporadic, last primary one was in september, Biden ofc.

Two generals within two weeks of each other that month, one being all dems crushing, other being dems win but it’s relatively close and if that’s the case trump wins easily b/c that’s a state that has to be dem 90% or so or trump wins basically. Dems basically cannot lose PA or VA.

Personally I have VA at 90% which is about the price you can get it now, it’s not higher because A) time value of money on sites you wager these things on and B) giving a % for the possibility trump magically turns out bigger numbers than the anti trump voting block can and WAAF.

They all go to Biden/ Pete imo. Not much crossover between the socialist and the cop.

Otoh, if he can maintain a polling lead and wins ia&nh may get a lot on the bandwagon

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https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/biden-calls-iowa-voter-a-damn-liar-after-he-brings-up-his-son-and-ukraine/2019/12/05/2b6a4a48-1793-11ea-9110-3b34ce1d92b1_story.html

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That’s not necessarily true. I keep hearing somewhere (538?) that POC and women (and Kamala double dips here) are assumed to be more liberal than they are. That rings true to me, and if it is, there’s a solid number of relatively unengaged liberals looking for a home.

Of course, now that I’ve typed that out, they’ll probably go to Pete cuz they assume a young gay white guy is liberal too.

Never mind, I got nothing.

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