Who will run in 2020?

Ok boomer.

6 Likes

Do you know what was very much at the forefront of getting unions and shortening the work week? If you said Hollywood, you would be right.

It must be nice to have a job that can be done from 9-3 or 9-5 or whatever on a 20 hour work week making the same as a 40 hour work week. Iā€™ve never had one of those jobs, so I just canā€™t relate.

not a boomer

Said with the lack of self-awareness of your typical boomer.

2 Likes

Bernie would be fantastic if he can win the nom and Iā€™m more than happy to see him moving on up. Have been all in on Warren mostly assuming Bernie was dead to win the nom. But that doesnā€™t really appear to be the case all of a sudden.

The longer this goes on the more obvious to me that Bernie is the best choice.

Iā€™m still supporting Yang because he is the only one pushing UBI but Bernie is probably the only politician that can get working class people united and fighting for change.

Warren is going to be great at policy but I donā€™t think she is going to energize the working class the way Bernie can.

And energizing the working class is the only way to get the politicians at the top to start voting for their interest.

4 Likes

Bill Gates joins the billionaire snowflake club re: Warren today, absolute fucking sociopathy from every last one of these people, who notably make no effort to understand her actual proposals.

1 Like

We may be in for a surprise if turnout is different than what polls project. Apparently pollster response rate is below 6pct and then theyā€™re presumably assuming that 6pct that participate is represntative of their demographic. And then they are relying on their projection of voter turnout. Unless theyā€™ve drastically improved their methodology, there are a lot of assumptions that could lead to more variance than 2016 which saw some states miss by double digits from the final polls. If any demographic shows up at the polls more or less than usual and they favor a particular candidate we could certainly see some surprise results in the first few non caucus states.

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.engadget.com/amp/2019/11/05/microsoft-japan-four-day-work-productivity/

If the Harris plan was to extend the school by 2 hours and then reduce the work week to 4 days, she might have been on to something.

1 Like

This is what people say about polls every cycle. Every cycle the polls remain mostly accurate.

Iā€™m cherry picking, but the final RCP average was off from the final vote in MI by 19.9%, Az by 12.3,WI by 10.9%, and NC by 10.2%. Trump numbers on the GOP side were 10%+off many times as well.

This might come off as a conspiratardy anti-vaxxer hogwash, but think of it more as sensitivity testing a model to variability in its assumptions. Two assumptions in question are voter turnout by demographic and whether the sampling methods are succsesful in capturing good representations of the true mean. If the first primary states come in close, then confidence in the polls and the risk associated with error in those assumptions drops significantly. Right now though, it seems prudent to consider the error margin of these assumptions and how large that error translates to in terms of mis-estimation of actual results.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/wi/wisconsin_democratic_presidential_primary-3764.html
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/az/arizona_democratic_presidential_primary-5466.html
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/wi/wisconsin_democratic_presidential_primary-3764.html
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/nc/north_carolina_democratic_presidential_primary-5175.html

Also Nate had Trump at 15% on Oct 26th 2016, but since Nate is really just a glorified poll averager, itā€™s not really his fault since heā€™s only ever as good as those pollsters.

(Pecota was great though.)

Kamala is the absolute worst because she doesnā€™t have a plan to mandate a 35-hour workweek.

Did he say something about the wealth tax? I havenā€™t seen it. I know he came out against her antitrust policy, to the surprise of absolutely no one.

Sheā€™s the worst because her solutions to the problems are the opposite of the direction we should be heading.

He bizarrely complained that she would take all his money (she wouldnā€™t, duh), then refused to commit to voting for her over Trump.

Note that the guy has multiplied his net worth since pledging to give away ā€œallā€ his money.

3 Likes

In a vacuum Kamalaā€™s plan sort of makes sense. Then you realize we live in the real world where the problem is people working more and more and more to make less and less and this solution is exactly the type of nonsense the Dem establishment loves to come up with. It is neo-liberalism at itā€™s finest. We need to be trending towards policies that promote shorter work weeks, better (not longer) schools, and income redistribution so people donā€™t feel like they have to work two jobs/60 hours a week to support themselves so some rich piece of shit can afford his third yacht. Not policies that turn our public schools even more into babysitters than they already are so people can work more hours at their shitty job. Itā€™s disgusting.

If you support policies like this in any shape or fashion you are part of the problem.

7 Likes

10 Likes

Heā€™s worth $100 billion. It is a fucking travesty that he has paid only $10 billion in taxes. And I frankly doubt heā€™s actually paid even half that much.

And letā€™s have an honest conversation about Buffett. Yippee, youā€™re good at PR. The guy has paid basically no tax, and never will.

3 Likes

Iā€™m a Buffett fan boy on a business levelā€¦ but these guys bitching about a wealth tax that wonā€™t actually happen is a bad look.

1 Like

This is important. While I can agree with Warren supporters that she might be craftier when it comes to politics and getting things done in Washington, I still think Sandersā€™ passion and intensity would lead to revolutionary change. Heā€™s said on open mic that if centrists donā€™t get with the program then as president, heā€™d be willing to travel the country and rally with people in the streets and threaten to primary senators like Joe Manchin if necessary. No one matches Bernieā€™s will and desire to fight for the people. No one

3 Likes