Who will run in 2020?

Just downloaded Yang’s book. I’ll admit some of his policies make me cringe, but a lot of them are smart.

Yang has policies? Like, plural?

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Nothing itt being discussed matters in the slightest

Yeah he has over 100 policies on his website including Rank Choice Voting, Democracy Dollars, Automatic Voter Registration, and oh wait. You were being funny because he talked about UBI so often during the debate. Well played!

Which policies make you cringe? I’m seriously very curious.

The gap between the amount of policies Yang has on his website vs what he talks about in debates and short interviews is one of the most interesting aspects of his campaign to me.

Strategically, I can understand why you would want to focus your free media time on your One Big Idea and leave the rest of your policy platform up on your website. I would think he hopes to either (1) use the one idea to get people to pay attention to his campaign and give it an identity or (2) build up enough momentum for the idea that the eventual winner adopts it. It’s still a little jarring though to watch a debate where he spends 90% of his time talking about UBI and then do some more research and see that he took the time to articulate a position on circumcision or abolishing the penny.

Automatic sundowning of laws is borderline dangerous. I have some concerns with SCOTUS term limits, the “culture minister” thing (or whatever he calls it) makes me uncomfortable. I think it just seems too banana republic-y to me.

Also, some of the stuff is just not necessary on a presidential platform, and i think it diminishes his credibility. MMA fighters? circumcision?

It doesn’t really seem like Yang is running to win anyway. If the United States ever has UBI he definitely deserves some credit whether he wins anything or not. At any rate he doesn’t really have a chance of winning this election.

https://twitter.com/jonathanchait/status/1159619788202741760

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It is unreal how bad Biden is. If it is him vs. Trump I won’t be waiting til the election results until I tune out.

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Just make sure you vote for the (way) lesser of two evils if that’s what it comes down to.

In a kind of edgelord or reverse-edgelord maneuver an 18 yo friend of my daughter who isn’t even all that political is for Amy Klobuchar.

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Almost feels like the media has been protecting Biden by keeping him away from Warren and Sanders.

The true test for Warren as a candidate will be if she can damage Biden when she shares a stage with him.

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That’s the Joe Biden I remember from the campaign trail in Delaware growing up…

https://twitter.com/AndrewHClark/status/1159630998667239425

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Thought I heard he was a billionaire venture capitalist when he first joined the race. I stand corrected.

Also, for some reason it comes across as much more odd to me that a random guy with no political experience and a net worth in the single digit millions in running for prez. That seems very suboptimal to me and is much more a play I would expect from a billionaire.

It’s like Biden is trying to lose.

He really isn’t, and that’s why it’s so spectacular.

Yesterday I heard someone (can’t remember who) say that Joe Biden had a campaign stop scheduled prior to the tragedies, but he only talked about his campaign once while going after Trump for the rest.

I thought it was an odd statement, as Joe was standing in front a giant Joe Biden 2020 backdrop and he was speaking into a podium with his text info and a campaign poster. I guess that’s the key. Use the swag, but don’t talk about yourself.

Just some reminders how far outside the margin of error the final polling was compared to the results in 2016. I think polling has become tougher for a number of reasons, especially when there are drastic differences in favorability between age groups and preferences of likely first time voters which makes extrapolating their samples highly dependent on projected voting demographics.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/mi/michigan_democratic_presidential_primary-5224.html

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/az/arizona_democratic_presidential_primary-5466.html

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/wi/wisconsin_democratic_presidential_primary-3764.html

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/nc/north_carolina_democratic_presidential_primary-5175.html

A couple more. I’m no expert on pollsters and I still sweat them this far out, but I felt it was worth looking back to 2016 as I do so. I feel like a lot of these variances were in swing states too.