Ukraine, Russia, and the West

Ukraine is p0tripper

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I mean Ukraine can’t attack into Russia other than firing missiles/artillery over the border. But maybe he’s so disgraced he kills himself, we can hope.

I just have a feeling that before it comes to that, when the writing is on the wall, he’s going to like carpet bomb Kyiv or gas cities or God knows what. So I’m hoping for a better outcome than that.

god that night was so fucking weird poker wise. Lost like 40-50k IIRC playing super well, but after I got my money back it was easily the second most profitable day of poker for me ever (I won a 6 fig BBJ once)

anyways, back to it

what do you guys think, Ze going to get nobel peace prize over navalny and trmp/kim?

Correct take is correct

Argentina’s fascist dictatorship drastically miscalculated that their US allies would back them in the Falkland Islands War. When that help failed to materialize and they had to surrender the islands, the ruling junta was overthrown the next day by the military generals.

NH

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Sunrise in Kyiv in 15 minutes.

First light!

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Still looks pretty dark here:

Google says about 45 mins to sunrise.

That camera is trained on all the lights of the square, it’s not going to pick up trace light in the sky.

Here’s the cam with the church. Not sure where that church is in relation to the main square.

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if they can wipe out his nuclear threat 80% on the river, you still do it right?

i’m actually a terrible poker player, @NotBruceZ can you analyze this for me?

Ah, I looked up sunrise, not dawn.

The Russian active duty army has upwards of ~a million personnel. They have another ~2 million in reserve. They committed fewer than 200k to this operation and are calling in favors to god damn Kazakhstan to come join the fight ffs. Do you really think Putin is going to nuke the entire world over Ukraine really? That’s stupid. You’re stupid. This is lazy fucking moronic armchair thinking that is needlessly getting Ukrainians killed because OH MY GOD the fucking GQP might say bad shit about us on Twitter just fuck right off already

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I don’t know, I’d need to consult with actual experts. 80% of his nukes, no for sure. 80% chance of taking away the whole nuclear threat, probably not still. That’s a 1 in 5 chance of a global nuclear war.

About the nuclear threat. If no one ever threatens Russia’s borders or attacks inside Russia, but just uses force to defend NATO countries or whatever, is there really any more justification for Putin to launch nukes than for him to just launch them out of the blue? It’s an offensive nuke strike, regardless of if he drew some imaginary line in the sand about not stopping his invasion.

There is zero threat to his country or their sovereignty. You have to think that could weigh some with his generals, and they have some plan to stop him from launching an offensive nuke. Like the idea of a madman in charge of the nukes certainly caused the US chain of command to break some protocols.

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Go have another drink or two and call it a night man.

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Ukrainian people are dying because the West only fight when it’s rigged

Make worse poasts I know you can

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we’re only good at blowing shit up

I mean, once you have one nuke the rest of the $ figures don’t matter much.