Ukraine Invasion 2: no more Black Sea fleet for you

https://twitter.com/Wolfe321/status/1607290956759588866

That quote is not from Kiev.

I wouldn’t think it would be. Sounded like a normal something that all surgeons have heard. I thought it was a good quote. Wasn’t sure where to put it though

Surgeons are a bunch of crybabies. I make mistakes in my spreadsheets all the time but you don’t hear me reciting little emo poems about it. ACTUARY STRONG!

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Russians must be an exceptionally clumsy people

https://twitter.com/liveuamap/status/1607363584148791298?s=21

It’s a good quote. I used it a week or so ago. I think about that quote, and the people it brings up for me, often.

Trump’s Exxon Sec of State that got the Putin friendship medal and called Trump a fucking moron is fine. Gotta know which side your bread is buttered on.

https://twitter.com/thetomzone/status/1607955900005863424?t=fzevlvGmpncg87cBQ_Oljg&s=19

This must be more of that awesome Russian trolling like Medvedev saying Texas and Mexico were unifying.

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In Soviet Russia, window falls on you!
https://twitter.com/nexta_tv/status/1608113412000698375?t=xxRS8MWA4erH_ypwn3BtEw&s=19

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I wonder if Russia considers Lord of the Rings a western classic?

I thought this was a joke but no.

https://twitter.com/Sam_Pflugrath/status/1608005654643609601?s=20&t=MV0x_LY_xxVAQ7PAyE3nqQ

Nefarious Tolkienists have kept this work from being published in English.

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Are we supposed to see the guy or is this some joke I don’t get?

I was wondering why I didn’t get :heart:s for that.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2022/12/29/ukraine-offensive-kharkiv-kherson-donetsk/

After weeks of fighting for scraps of territory on the war’s bloodiest front, Oleh, a 21-year-old Ukrainian company commander, was summoned suddenly last August, along with thousands of other soldiers, to an obscure rendezvous point in the Kharkiv region.

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At his last position, relentless Russian artillery fire had stalked his men’s every step. But here, in a patch of villages, farmland and streams in Ukraine’s northeast, the quiet was deeply alarming. “The silence bothered me the most,” Oleh said. “It seemed off. How could this be?”

Even more unsettling were the orders his superiors handed down: to charge as far as 40 miles into enemy territory at high speed in an audacious, top-secret counteroffensive — directly between the Russian-occupied stronghold of Izyum and Russia’s own Belgorod region dotted with military bases. It seemed preposterous. “Some kind of dubious operation,” Oleh said.

Oleh, a 21-year-old Ukrainian company commander who took part in September’s Kharkiv counteroffensive. (Serhiy Morgunov for The Washington Post)

But after a summer of heavy Russian casualties and President Vladimir Putin’s refusal to conscript reinforcements, the Kremlin’s troops were badly depleted. A shift of units south — to defend the captured regional capital of Kherson amid talk of a big Ukrainian push there — had left the Kharkiv area exposed.

It was a stunning vulnerability, confirmed by Ukrainian reconnaissance teams and small drones. And Kyiv would exploit it to change the dynamic of the war, and achieve Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky’s goal of redrawing the battlefield map before winter.

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https://twitter.com/serhey_hayday/status/1607440212547833856?s=20&t=90rphexAnCVAH19uLTm9mw

Kreminna is just outside the twin cities of Severodonetsk and Lysychansk, arguably Russia’s last major capture. The force there might also be threatening to encircle whatever men have not yet been slaughtered in the effort to take Bakhmut.

High temperatures there will be in the 40s until the second week of January so ground conditions right now are not optimal for an attack but maybe Russian commanders don’t want to wait till the last minute.

Because of mud? Or do you mean -40? Or if not those then I am not sure why 40s would be a deterrent.

Mud, yes. I mean that’s what people say but maybe the Ukrainians just want the Russians to think they are worried about the mud. And then maybe the Russian commanders are like no, we know what you’re up to and it’s clearly time to get out of Dodge. And maybe the Russians are right this time.

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The warbros are pointing to January for another Ukrainian offensive because the ground freezing makes it possible for tracked vehicles to get off road. There are also reports of a Russian buildup in northern Luhansk.

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