No wonder Ukraine is winning. Holy shit at people like that.
The truck was bought by SaintJavelin.com
https://twitter.com/itsborys/status/1596628959743315968?s=21
I ordered a Saint Javelin hoodie and long sleeve as well as a „Peace through Superior Firepower“ jacket. Nice to see that my money is put to good use.
They have lots of neat stuff in case anyone is looking for some Christmas presents. If you are considering ordering something you should do so quickly because delivery can take up to a few weeks.
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Missile based systems to shoot down cruise missiles, gun based to shoot down Shaheeds. All of them are perfectly capable at short range, but the hard part is the target getting close enough to your system. I don’t think any of them are capable of shooting down low flying targets like cruise missiles more than 5 mi away. That’s why the cruise missiles fly low.
The estimates for numbers of rockets come from satellite imagery, as well as supply chain analysis, of what russian MIC might have procured and manufactured. almost all of the number of missiles allotted for the Special Operation for has been deployed, and the use of s-300 for land targets seems to confirm shortages in other types of weapons.
evidence such as serial numbers of surviving rocket components, indicate that many of them come from strategic and training reserves, some are really old, and some are really new. it does appear that russia had been stashing rockets as well as resources to build more beyond what the west estimated, perhaps even by 2x or 4x. that might sound like a huge intelligence miss, but it’s could also be typical error range with partial information villain.
https://twitter.com/juliaioffe/status/1597764384301797376?t=wtUeqfiIBUy6FqfKiULKiQ&s=19
https://twitter.com/EddieLabongchek/status/1597765546665472002?t=X0ZShDdqoxdzyaIx03FPKA&s=19
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Stephen Miller looks like Stephen Miller’s Dad.
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Maybe the satellites have bad tires.
https://twitter.com/juliaioffe/status/1598023505920266240?t=NPv0tWBZaoSGUC-O91RJQA&s=19
Trouble is a majority of Putin still favors continuation.
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Their enhance button was broken
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the front has mostly stabilized, at least until ground freezes, and maybe now is a good time to repost and discuss analysis. here’s some British thinktank or agency describing the battle of kyiv as having 12:1 numerical advantage for russia, and failure to achieve capture zelensky is blamed on operational and tactical stupidity. it’s a bit self-serving because the west did expect ukraine to fall in a month, but a also a good chance to reflect that authoritarianism and corruption as a combo eat whole countries from the inside out, and snatch defeat from the jaws of victory in plain sight.
Russia planned to invade Ukraine over a 10-day period and thereafter occupy the country to enable annexation by August 2022. The Russian plan presupposed that speed, and the use of deception to keep Ukrainian forces away from Kyiv, could enable the rapid seizure of the capital. The Russian deception plan largely succeeded, and the Russians achieved a 12:1 force ratio advantage north of Kyiv. The very operational security that enabled the successful deception, however, also led Russian forces to be unprepared at the tactical level to execute the plan effectively. The Russian plan’s greatest deficiency was the lack of reversionary courses of action. As a result, when speed failed to produce the desired results, Russian forces found their positions steadily degraded as Ukraine mobilised. Despite these setbacks, Russia refocused on Donbas and, since Ukraine had largely expended its ammunition supply, proved successful in subsequent operations, slowed by the determination – rather than the capabilities – of Ukrainian troops. From April, the West became Ukraine’s strategic depth, and the Ukrainian Armed Forces (UAF) only robbed Russia of the initiative once long-range fires brought Russian logistics under threat.
The tactical competence of the Russian military proved significantly inferior compared with the expectations of many observers based within and outside Ukraine and Russia. Nevertheless, Russian weapons systems proved largely effective, and those units with a higher level of experience demonstrated that the AFRF have considerable military potential, even if deficiencies in training and the context of how they were employed meant that the Russian military failed to meet that potential. Factoring in the idiosyncrasies of the Russian campaign, there are five key areas that should be monitored to judge whether the Russian military is making progress in resolving its structural and cultural deficiencies. These areas should be used to inform assessments of Russian combat power in the future.
High level analysis
Spock: Random chance seems to have operated in our favor.
McCoy: In plain non-Vulcan English, we’ve been lucky.
Spock: I believe I said that, Doctor.
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A thread about why Russian fuel logistics is in very bad shape and neglected for a long time despite being essential.
https://twitter.com/TrentTelenko/status/1598408126310424576?s=20&t=j6IV3F6T1WFCKHlKbBAtUw
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Authorities defused a letter bomb at the U.S. Embassy in Madrid, Spain, on Thursday and said several other similar devices were sent out to high-profile government officials and embassies.
On Thursday, bomb diffusers safely dismantled the sixth such device that has appeared in recent weeks which is believed to be a part of a wave of actions taken to try and influence foreign policy, specifically the country’s ongoing involvement in the war between Russia and Ukraine.
The first of the suspicious and potentially dangerous devices was addressed to Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez on Nov. 24.
Similar devices have been found at the Spanish defense ministry, an air force base, a weapons manufacturer and the Ukrainian embassy, the last of which caused minor injuries to a security officer.
„Give us everything we want. Then we can start negotiating.“
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youdon’tsay.fig
“And then give us a break so that we can try again and take the rest.”
Wagner has been pushing for Bakhmut mostly in an attempt to show how superior they are to the regular army and they kept doubling down. Ukraine held steadfast and might have put a lot of resources into defending it because they could really inflict a lot of damage on the attackers.
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bakhmut defense is really about ukraine already having strong positions in the area, and retreating from them would give those up. meanwhile wagner could also be losing hundreds of fighters there every week, and continue to draw resources away from rest of the front. rotation of ukrainian forces through there also helps train and harden their ranks with combat experience.