Ukraine Invasion 2: no more Black Sea fleet for you

It’s changed several times as more info has come in.

1 Like

First they came for Lucille Ion and I said nothing.

1 Like

People saying Lyman has fallen.

2 Likes

Key question is did the Russians retreat or were they cut off, and then did they surrender.

Kadyrov is head of the Chechen Republic, Google tells me.

https://twitter.com/maxseddon/status/1576216531536871424?s=20&t=lxCZH16KXL1I7o2PRsQNHw

CNN reporting this as well now.

Edit: It looks like they avoided getting cut off though (If you believe the official Russian line anyway):

I’m sure some made it out, but doesn’t look like all:

https://twitter.com/Gerashchenko_en/status/1576184111953113088

Kadyrov the next to fall out of a window, or is he too big for Putin to whack?

I think he needs him to keep Chechnya under control and supplying troops. A power vacuum and fight for control there would be very bad right now for Putin and Russia (caveat - I have no clue about the power structure/potential successors to Kadyrov, so maybe Putin could seamlessly install a puppet there).

Legit wondering if Kadyrov sees himself as Putin’s successor.

Yeah, I don’t know much about the details of Chechnya, but it seems like there would be a big risk of rebellion and secession if the guy at the top got whacked.

1 Like

Seems new. Russia claiming plane crashed on landing.

Given the state of all of their equipment and the training of their troops, I’m surprised this doesn’t happen more often.

https://twitter.com/ralee85/status/1576242619683741698?s=46&t=SDF4qswV86Zz1nGuZJhBSw

3 Likes

https://twitter.com/KofmanMichael/status/1576294945379348481?t=L7pdpLDlrbMPnZ61yTMRZA&s=19

Sounds like 100k out of shape gentlemen with frostbite because they didn’t bring their own sleeping bags scattered around here and there will really turn things around.

1 Like

Kofman thinks we shouldn’t be too quick to conclude the mobilization won’t at least stabilize Russia’s situation on the battlefield. Idk obviously but from what we’ve seen so far, it will be at a very high cost in lives and they will still lose some territory Putin desperately wants to hold.

1 Like

What was the name?

Looks like that retreat didn’t go well for the Russians

https://twitter.com/tommostlyzen/status/1576185412099375105?s=46&t=iFpJ0Imlbaq2tD6r4pyN4Q

2 Likes