https://twitter.com/osinttechnical/status/1566593924973592576?s=21&t=ZGQXZ7gQo55K3yuBOjQYCw
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Good idea, catch them with their pants down.
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Wrong Korea.
https://twitter.com/KT_So_It_Goes/status/1566970481974169601?t=Li2LLRmOBFnzYdml9JfACQ&s=19
AFU released some video of destroying RU positions in Balakliya (around Kharkiv), and advance in a separate effort to cut off M.03 road north of Izyum. Both places are strategically important for RU to support its effort in Donetsk oblast’. UA analysts have described AFU actions as encouraging the russian army to retreat on their own, as they did after the battle for Kyiv.
The significance is that AFU (almost 200k personnel in combat readiness allegedly) is able to conduct counters on several fronts at once. This likely comes despite Pentagon’s advice to focus on only one front. However, UA likely feels that russian army is in a particularly weakened position at the moment, unable to set favorable conditions for infantry battles, even as they continue to have an advantage in artillery installations.
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y’all might read about this soon. Zelensky and AFU spox have not announced any news about Balakliya yet, even though everyone else already speculated about how many “elite” VDV may have become compost there. it’s actually not clear if AFU stormed it, or if RU attempted to gain ground and lost so many they immediately began retreating. long story short, a long stretch of RU supply route to Izyum is now in range of AFU strikes.
a big tell that this might be real is intel from RU military telegram channels. they started talking about battles in Balakliya two days ago, and then turned super negative, blaming the unmobilized population back in the motherland for having to retreat. then the chaser, they started talking how it’s an insignificant setback, and wholesale victory chances are still surely with russia.
separately, another pro-russian collaborator, the commandant of Berdyansk blew up in his car yesterday. they really gotta stop smoking around explosives.
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https://twitter.com/Nrg8000/status/1567532832507174914?s=20&t=Qg9lCizLyHL1YlmrE1Cx4w
https://twitter.com/RALee85/status/1567395435685216256
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The news is encouraging but difficult to tell what is going on. I mean it could be anything from a few villages regained to being on the brink of a total Russian collapse for all I know.
https://twitter.com/DrAlakbarov/status/1567512647586701313?s=20&t=un7GxWNP9rGaDUWunvOpZg
https://twitter.com/IAPonomarenko/status/1567522785370537986?s=20&t=un7GxWNP9rGaDUWunvOpZg
“The enemy has come alive along the entire Kharkiv front. It seems comrades, they have f***ed us hard.”
eta Express.co.uk might be a problematic source. Still like the quote.
there’s a tendency that any success by ukraine will be overstated. fog of war contributes to it of course, and psychologically even small victories are significant symbolisms. but Ukraine has been telegraphing for weeks that ru mobilized some truly awful personnel, outfitted them with some shitty equipment, gave them to very poor commanders, and proceeded to throw them as cannon fodder into understaffed missions. it’s not really a surprise that well prepared reconnaissance would find vulnerabilities, and well trained and equipped motorized infantry would make big territorial gains. we are just waiting to find out how it will shake out.
btw, they are going to be naming ukrainian war colleges after Zaluzhnyj. suffice it to say he did more with less than any commander so far this century
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Im not convinced that this whole war wasn’t a front for an arms smuggling deal.
https://twitter.com/oryxspioenkop/status/1567600200474050563?s=46&t=4eg8v-03ujoxZJJgM0C01w
Zaluzhny’s article specifically says Saki airfield attack was a number of air strikes. Seems to be some custom prototype rocket from an earlier ukrainian project, that was cancelled and never mass-produced.
Is there any info on where they were fired from?