Ukraine Invasion 2: no more Black Sea fleet for you

The day after Anton Ischenko celebrated his 23rd birthday, he was taken by the Russians, led away at gunpoint from his home in the village of Andriivka, west of Kyiv.

His family found his body a month later, once the Russian troops were driven out. He was so badly mutilated that they had to identify him by his clothes.

Aha - but what the story doesn’t say is he was a civilian combatant (probably). Gotcha!

https://twitter.com/KevinRothrock/status/1513581754564628480

https://twitter.com/ukraine_world/status/1513587778071797768

https://twitter.com/ukraine_world/status/1513587780139552772

https://twitter.com/ukraine_world/status/1513587782106718223

https://twitter.com/ukraine_world/status/1513587784925302784

https://twitter.com/ukraine_world/status/1513587786187694087

https://twitter.com/ukraine_world/status/1513587787609554948

If this isn’t policy, it’s definitely policy to look the other way - just like it was after WWII. Just like the Rape of Nanking. Just like My Lai.

https://twitter.com/AFP/status/1513465900762083332

This communication is weird. Either trying to send a desperate, public message to their own leadership, or trying to trick the Russians into thinking they’re almost out of ammunition. I hope it’s the latter, but probably the former.

2 posts were merged into an existing topic: The Musings of Keed and His Uncle John: War Crimes Edition

Extracted. See below thread to continue.

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A post was merged into an existing topic: War Crimes and John M.

Destroying Azov regiment and holding mariupol without any of its former residents is going to be putin’s “victory”. grozny-aleppo-mariupol. all finished by the same general too.

ukraine will never forgive russians for this, and they will be correct to do so. russia must be denazified. tribunal for putin and everyone above colonel, lustrations for every official of any power, ideally taking away its nukes, severely restricting police ranks and power. then mass population visits to see the destruction they caused first hand. just like germany had to be made to face.

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https://twitter.com/cliffordlevy/status/1513578231450017802

Fuck this guy.

2 posts were merged into an existing topic: War Crimes and John Mearsheimer

I’m kinda pessimistic about the war too. My prediction is the medium term result is similar to the 1st Donbas campaign: stalemate/low intensity war with Russia keeping it’s captured territory.

meanwhile in russia, besides general Beseda, the former head of FSB section responsible for a lot of counterintel, is arrested and awaiting charges.

but wait there’s more, Surkov, a close putin advisor and architect of hybrid warfare of the last decade, is placed under house arrest.

but wait, there’s more, reports are that 150 FSB officers were relieved of duty and/or arrested over major errors in provided analysis in support of the special operation.

oh to be a fly on the wall in lubyanka right now.

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I don’t even know what this guy is trying to convey? War is bad and violent?

Really lost count of how many tears I haven’t shed for KGB-shniki getting fucked.

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Confirmed

https://twitter.com/nexta_tv/status/1503773626138517506

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Many questions. Was waiting for the yelling to die back down.

They do, but not for the same purpose as the U2/Global Hawk. The E3 keeps an eye on the ground for any immediate and controllable threat to the airspace. Ground to air missile launches, for example. The Global Hawk (and U2) are there to get an overall picture of the entire theatre. Think real time vs. pictures/data that analysts can study later.

No way of knowing if it’s true, but that could definitely be a way NATO is helping Ukraine. This is something that an AWACS would do.

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Russia can keep throwing new waves of reservists and conscripts every 6 months. Ukraine will run out of manpower.

Conscripts are mostly useless though and they are not going to be able to replace all the equipment either. Pre-war Russia produced ~200 tanks/year.

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Yeah but they conscripts can perform a lot of the non-front-line roles. Including maybe putting them at borders and stuff.

about that… conscripts and reservists are soon going to flee or go into hiding before being called.