Ukraine Invasion 2: no more Black Sea fleet for you

Really lost count of how many tears I haven’t shed for KGB-shniki getting fucked.

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Confirmed

https://twitter.com/nexta_tv/status/1503773626138517506

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Many questions. Was waiting for the yelling to die back down.

They do, but not for the same purpose as the U2/Global Hawk. The E3 keeps an eye on the ground for any immediate and controllable threat to the airspace. Ground to air missile launches, for example. The Global Hawk (and U2) are there to get an overall picture of the entire theatre. Think real time vs. pictures/data that analysts can study later.

No way of knowing if it’s true, but that could definitely be a way NATO is helping Ukraine. This is something that an AWACS would do.

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Russia can keep throwing new waves of reservists and conscripts every 6 months. Ukraine will run out of manpower.

Conscripts are mostly useless though and they are not going to be able to replace all the equipment either. Pre-war Russia produced ~200 tanks/year.

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Yeah but they conscripts can perform a lot of the non-front-line roles. Including maybe putting them at borders and stuff.

about that… conscripts and reservists are soon going to flee or go into hiding before being called.

Patron looks like a possible ancestor of Porthos, who was the first Enterprise crew member on an alien planet and also loved (will love?) cheese.

https://twitter.com/GlojoCuscuhing/status/1097825167949090817?s=20&t=1vyiXZ3GIi3IOuuqQxCAZw

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https://twitter.com/idreesali114/status/1513634763311140874

https://twitter.com/idreesali114/status/1513634764540059662

It goes back a few years and I can’t recall the story but weren’t there worries about Trump revealing a specific, highly placed FSB source? Maybe one of these guys.

If the US is concerned about Europe continuing to buy Russian oil (which they should be), we should subsidize exports to Europe to distribute the pain more widely.

I don’t like the idea of making them bear the full brunt and then complaining if they do not. Higher oil prices will screw up their politics just like ours.

I see Ukraine as a culmination of the cold war and we need to be willing to sacrifice. You can’t engage in a war and not expect to accept some inconvenience.

I also think we should build more nuclear asap and drill in Alaska. Putin needs to be defeated.

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New War on the Rocks podcast.

Does their radar have enough range to be useful flying outside of Ukraine? My impression is they can only cover approximately the west half of the country from NATO airspace, but I don’t really know.

I don’t think Russia has very many professional soldiers who aren’t already committed to Ukraine.

drilling in alaska isn’t as impactful as we think. oil companies can reopen existing shale pumps right now, they are choosing not to because the price is still fluctuating wildly, and could swing 10-20% almost every week.

We shouldnt underestimate how success totalitarian regimes can be in recruiting troops and sending them to die.

Russia’s population is only like 3.25x Ukraine’s, and they seem to be dying way above a 3 to 1 ratio. Obviously it’s more complex than that but broadly speaking it seems like Russian soldiers are being killed way too fast for it to be anywhere near certain that they win a war of attrition.

And Ukraine has essentially mobilised all men aged 18-60 in some capacity as I understand it.

The US should arm Ukraine for a suicide mission into Russian territory to blow up oil infrastructure. Give them a submarine to destroy the Nord Stream 1 pipelines.