Beats the alternative, although probably moves the court to the right in the near-term. Pick the best 27 year old that Manchin will confirm would be optimal strategy.
I mean heās right. These strategic retirements means that the justices on the Court are political actors or at least take the political situation into account and arenāt non political umpires calling balls and strikes, even if the retirement is to the advantage of Democrats.
Oh noes, the legitimacy of the court.
The flaw in the argument is pretending that the SC (and the entire federal court system) has been anything but hyper-political for many years.
I wonder if Breyer will write some kind of scathing essay when McConnell keeps the seat vacant until 2025 for Trump/DeSantis/Whoever to fill.
I donāt think Bruneig is pretending. Heās making fun of Democrats who say that, and are right, but wonāt say it when itās to their advantage
Itās like playing GTO heads-up when theyāre playing exploitative, if you continue down that road without making adjustments youāll get run over.
I think theyāll end up doing this so there wonāt be a vacancy somehow
Ketanji Brown Jackson Iād guess
snap bet against this
maybe 50ās but not 60ās
itās a campaign promise
Seems like a pretty good guess honestly.
Would throw a few bucks at it on PI if there was a market.
So, the story says heās retiring at the end of this term. Which is in October. IMO a very likely scenario right now is that we lose the midterms, fail to appoint a replacement between October and January, and we have 8 justices until Trump/Desantis nominates a replacement in 2024.
I know what youāre trying to say but the better analogy is cooperating in a prisonerās dilemma scenario over and over again versus a defector.
Thatās not something to make fun of, itās the appropriate theoretical strategy.
Ok. The other guy has a gun in what agreed to be a knife fight. Do you continue with the knife or do you get a your own gun.
Btw, pleas of unfair and requests for reasonableness are laughed at and greeted with ā¦. Gunfire.
In other words, that ship has already sailed. Playing by the old rules has you down 3-6 with the majority selected by bullshit presidents (only there because of vagaries of the EC, court rulings and Putin).
Who here has faith in Joe Biden to have 50 senators lined up and ready to confirm a new justice between October 2022 and January 2023?
Mitch will use the replacement as evidence of a functioning process, the fuck does he care itās already 6-3.
well Iād assume before Nov 2022 but this is the democrats
I think they consider the term done when the last ruling is made which is usually June? There may be some activity July-September but iirc this is actually a common retirement timeline. (Juneish)