Oh my god this. Trumps “numbers” going down (especially when bidens are basically static) means people are just too embarrassed to say they’ll vote for him. Same as after access Hollywood. But they’re still gonna pull the lever every single time. Biden needs to be >50. Every don’t know is a trump vote.
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Predictit and 538 have FL leaning blue. If it really gets ass-blasted by COVID, it’s absolutely winnable for the Dems.
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Good posts by you and ATC. As someone who considers himself logical and knowledgeable about probability, I shouldn’t have to be reassured. Your takes are clearly correct. I think it’s just that the stakes are so high. I’ll be so fucking depressed if Trump wins.
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Technically you have not decided until the moment you cast your vote. You have to admit that is some high-level abstract thought from our beloved centrists.
But yeah, all an undecided means is they will take a better R option if it comes along.
It’s just irritating to see. I’m gonna keep hammering this point; the entire election is AZ, MI, NC, PA, and WI.
Is Scavino smart enough to do this to Streisand Effect a book that is positive toward Trump? I lean toward no.
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Yeah, it’s actually about a 3-block stretch of street that’s blocked off (along with a little bit of the side streets), and I guess there are also people camping in the park nearby. It’s not really a huge deal as far as I can tell, although I haven’t been up there myself.
Pic from this article:
https://www.seattletimes.com/seattle-news/welcome-to-the-capitol-hill-autonomous-zone-where-seattle-protesters-gather-without-police/
A more recent feature story:
https://www.seattletimes.com/seattle-news/dubbed-a-lawless-state-by-some-the-chaz-or-chop-seattles-newest-neighborhood-tries-to-create-its-own-narrative/
The answer to the question “Is Trump sycophant X smart enough to do Y?” is almost exclusively “No”.
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In not at all surprising news… remember Sharpiegate?
https://twitter.com/kylegriffin1/status/1272647575703711744?s=19
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Trump must love Bolton to juice his sales like this. I guess he owes him one for not testifying.
im late on this, but to address some stuff i saw about the upcoming rally.
Tulsa has a metro of 991k, so saying the city is 400k is a bit disingenuous. OKC has a metro of 1.4 million and is roughly 90 miles away. The BOK center where the rally is holds 19k people. it will be within 7-8 blocks of where a Juneteenth/BLM/Tulsa race massacre rally is being held. the covid cases as many of you have seen are SPIKING HARD this week as we haven’t done any social distancing even during the lockdown and now have everything reopened. and the BOK event center/city have canceled every event through the end of july other than this one due to COVID concerns.
also there was a massive uninformed left wing push to reserve as many tickets as possible and not go to the rally. im not sure which “side” started this not understanding that the tickets aren’t tickets because its just first serve anyway, but this has fed straight into Trump’s hand by allowing him to claim all these people requested tickets. Ive seen numerous copy pasta’s on my facebook feed about reserving them so it was widespread in the area.
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To pile on, let me translate this poll:
https://twitter.com/politics_polls/status/1272522717514825728?s=21
Biden 49%
Trump 49%
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Nothing like an election that lets every voter feel like a kingmaker