Quite a bit lower imo. His weight is not that excessive for his age, so the 2-4% survival rate for 70-75 (I think that’s about right) would reflect lots of people in his general physical condition.
The mini-strokes could be a significant boost. And he eats like crap.
This is optimal. Trump unable to make public appearances for three weeks, then being hauled out in some controlled environment and looking like a shell of a man a week before Halloween, would be best.
whenever there are 5 minutes without a news update tweet i think i should probably get off the couch and do something today and then i just dig in buckle up and refresh
Honestly that was like 50 years ago so I can’t remember. I found this article, though, which consists of Kudlow being amazingly wrong about the pandemic:
christ i had a big meeting this morning so i knew this news was going to fuck me, and then the rest of the day has been busy as hell, been catching up over the last hour or two, i think my head is going to explode, going to need to sleep for hours, really need a fast forward button to Nov 8th or so.
“Trump is a fascist and Putin’s puppet and worse than Hitler and also we must hope and pray for his speedy recovery” - someone who does not believe the first half of what they just said
Liberals when a state with a substantial Black population has a COVID outbreak vs. when a rich powerful white guy has COVID
Things weren’t much better 40 years later when Pres. Garfield was shot. His physician repeatedly rooted around inside the wound with unwashed fingers to try to find the bullet, which likely led to Garfield’s infection and eventual death after 11 weeks of misery.
Lister’s theories about germs and sterilization had already gained traction in Europe, but were ignored here in the US.