The National Football League

And they were up 10 or 14 in the 4th quarter I believe

think that was the design, they ran it prior and did run behind him which worked and tried to fool them by making them think that and doing something else

also williams actually missed his block too, but inside was there faster

Cowherd did a segment where he split Brady’s career into thirds and basically showed how each third is a HoF career.

On another note, this has to be one of the best NFL seasons of all time in terms of pure entertainment value. Tons of great games all season. Hilarious storylines like Gruden, Meyer, AB, and I’m sure many others I’m forgetting. A divisional round for the ages. I’m sure there’s been other great seasons, but I don’t remember ever being entertained by an NFL season this much, and I’m a Lions fan who mostly watches their games. And even this year I got to see a 66 yard field goal, which was insane. Plus I like to think they had something to do with the downfall of the Packers and Cardinals. The Lions beat 2 playoff teams and tied another, and they all bit it hard in the playoffs.

Maybe the 17th game had something to do with it. I hated the idea of it at first (seriously how can you fuck with the perfect symmetry we had going on), but If it leads to more seasons like this I can get on board.

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https://twitter.com/TheHerd/status/1485669499370016775

Speaking of Cowherd. Lol all the dumb narratives, and how 180 degree different they would be if the Chiefs don’t pull out a miracle.

https://twitter.com/JorshP/status/1485454912817401858

#BROWNS

What about this for overtime - if the game is tied at the end of regulation - it just keeps going, next score wins. No kickoff to start OT.

If it’s tied on the last play of regulation as last night, then the Chiefs would have to kick off to the Bills to start OT.

I’m struggling to find a way that’s not fair. Although it does punish the team that ties it up late.

But it would also make them try harder for a TD - knowing they’d essentially lose the toss. Chiefs had a chance for at least one more shot at the end zone in 2018. I wish they’d have tried it.

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How about starting at the 50 and each team gets four plays in an alternating fashion. After the four plays are finished, if the ball is in the opponent’s territory, you win.

https://twitter.com/ScottKacsmar/status/1485750028643799040

Kinda has a point.

A good point. Fuck Atlanta. ;)

I like regular football for 15 minutes. Clock management is such an integral part of the NFL excitement (unlike an NBA game).

If still tied keep playing.

Only tweek is maybe no XP kick. Gotta go for two.

Regular season is fine.

If only the Bills had used

image

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I’d amend this slightly to say that whoever has the ball last receives the OT kickoff.

You want to require some sense of urgency if you have the ball near midfield with 30 seconds to go in regulation.

https://twitter.com/kcgat/status/1485776965604941828

These guys must be major degens. No one else would trust that the buddy would actually pony up $1000.

Wait it’s ONLY a $1000 fine? Lol. Its like 9k aud in Australia (7k usd)

Josh allen was horrible and really bad his first two years as we all knew he’d be–got taken purely on his arm and mobility and hoping they could get to the other stuff when 90% of the time that doesn’t work.

100% if the browns or jets take him instead obviously. Kudos to the Bills, didn’t work out this year but you got a shot for awhile.

No his buddy offered him $1000 to do it. And he did it.

Oh I’d assumed coz that was what the fine was.

Team that goes second has the advantage, since they know exactly how much they need.

In third down situations when coaches know they are going for it on fourth if they fail, most NFL coaches do a terrible job of understanding the impact their third down play call has on the overall likelihood of success. Most view it as two independent decisions.

On 3&1 losing yardage on third is catastrophic. On 3&3 or 4, very few coaches run enough. First, they could pick it up. Second, if they gain two or more yards they open the playbook up on the ensuing down and are harder to defend because their run:pass ratio is going to be much more balanced. Plus the offense can go to the line of scrimmage with a run and pass called, and the QB can choose based on the defensive front and alignment, increasing the likelihood of a favorable matchup.

Taking a low percentage shot play on like 3&4 or 3&5 is another common terrible one, because when it fails you are going to pass on fourth down at a very high frequency and everyone knows it. That said, game theory would obviously run the ball reasonably often with 4-6 yards to go because you have to keep the defense honest. Also because they are probably in nickel or dime, thus easier to run against.

I bet most NFL teams run the ball under 5% of the time on 3&6 or 4&6, and my wild ass guess is game theory would run more like 20% of the time. The Eagles did a lot of that in 2017 and it worked a lot.

Likewise on 3& long in a four down situation, most coaches call low percentage plays past the sticks and don’t want their QB to check down. But it’s hard to run everyone to the same depth and get someone open, because they’ve made themselves easier to cover and their proximity limits the usable route tree. If the defense is playing the sticks, having a route underneath and taking it when nobody is open deep does two things:

  1. Gives a guy a chance to make someone miss and get the first.

  2. Gives you a chance to get to fourth and short. Look at the 3/4th down conversion percentages based on yards to go. Even 4&4 is wayyyy more convertible than 4&10, but most coaches would want their QB to take a 10% chance of success on 3rd over a 100% chance of being in 4th and 4 or better. Think about all the nearly indefensible rub routes teams use in those situations, which are a lot less useful with 10 yards to go.

The examples are endless, there’s a lot of button mashing going on.

Some would but a lot wouldn’t. Think about how often coaches call a kneel in a tied game with time left and the ball, instead opting to flip a coin to see who goes first. If your offense is so bad that the defense is more likely to score points on the last play than your offense is, you’ve got problems.

I do feel like I’m seeing a decent amount of run plays on 3rd & medium in four-down territory recently, but a lot of that is in that 35-yard line area, where I’m sure part of the coach’s reasoning is ā€œok if we get it to <2 we’ll go, if we gain yardage but don’t get that close, at least we got an easier FG attemptā€.

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