Biggest shock of the night was when Biden was like yāall remember that this Ukraine nonsense was why he got impeached, right? And in that moment, I realized, that I had, in fact, forgotten that the President had been impeached.
And it was for being caught red-handed trying to use a foreign government to target a political opponent - as a sitting president - something infinitely worse than the son of a current presidential candidate has ever even been accused of doing in this ginned up scandal. Madness.
The only thing that matters is election day results. Hope that helps.
Iām well off by america standards but Iāve actually been struggling for a few years now. Iām on pace to be as miserable as everyone else Iām waiting till after covid blows over before I suck it up.
so really my best strat is actually to support the far leftāgive me the UBI check so I can continue to be online and spam post every day rather than having to suck it up and do something else.
I still donāt get why Biden doesnāt bring up the litany of corruption oozing from the tRUmp brood whenever Hunter is brought up
Jaredās bailout by Qatar, his use of personal email and unencrypted messaging apps to conduct official US business and his scheme to profit from the opportunity zones
Ivankaās shady patents
The dumbass twins inability to operate a charity without self dealing
Itās absurd to say that āyou lost the election (with 3 million more votes, a two week news cycle after the last debate) therefore you lost the debates.ā If you want to apply this logic, then thereās an 87% chance you will be proven wrong about Trump winning the debate after the votes are counted.
I am not sure people understand how low a percentage of people in Texas care or think about oil. Of those who do, you have a majority of rurals and then a tiny sliver of oil tycoons.
Literally all people who were already voting for trump. The average Texan is no more concerned about the oil industry in 2020 than the average
If it were 40 years ago, I think it would be a bigger deal, but it is simply not the case any longer.
How do you know this? The polls show fewer people saying he won the debate than his current levels of his voter support. It suggests he didnāt win anyone over. If anything, itās more likely the debate lowered his EV, because his EV before included scenarios where he crushed the debate and Biden imploded. Now that hasnāt happened.
If Trump doesnāt see any debate bounce and the polling status quo holds over the next week, then you will see Bidenās odds increase on 538, as Trump runs out of time to catch up.
Trumpās Betfair odds. I think that is one of the biggest markets that is trading on this, if not the biggest. I didnāt actually check the site myself, Iām just going by what someone posted in this thread.
The shift in Betfair odds represents the average guess of a gambler on what the broader public thinks. Thereās no way that information is more valuable than a random sample of the publicās actual thoughts.
For example, how many suburban women do you think weighed in on Betfair?