IIRC this is a known bias/heuristic where people tend to round unlikely events to 0% probability and round likely events to 100% probability, but I can’t remember its name and google hasn’t helped. Probably a Kahneman and Tversky thing.
IIRC this is a known bias/heuristic where people tend to round unlikely events to 0% probability and round likely events to 100% probability, but I can’t remember its name and google hasn’t helped. Probably a Kahneman and Tversky thing.