Yeah, I was able to find out where those numbers come from: https://data.pa.gov/Government-Efficiency-Citizen-Engagement/2020-General-Election-Unofficial-Mail-Ballot-Proce/pg3c-9a9m
The problem is that dataset isn’t live; instead, it’s updated once per day. So the 369k remaining was accurate this morning when the gap was around 147k.
Biden up to .90 on PredictIt
Every single person in Nevada is drunk, stoned, or miserable. Be patient.
They can count ballots that arrive up until 5pm tomorrow. The PA Dems are likely including what they expect their in their margin of victory estimates, but this is why I was saying 75K to 150K when they said 100K-200K. We’ll win without any of the 11/3 to 11/6, assuming they aren’t counted in current numbers (which is my understanding since they are segregated and have not been discussed). It’ll be close without them, but we’ll win. Those will pad our total.
why the fuck is that a comparison? that doesn’t mean they weren’t shit
Imagine if Trump had been running for re election at that time
Do you have a link to that list? How many outstanding in MOntgomery is important.
The report I see with the 369K says it was updated at 1:28PM today.
Real pollsters everywhere: “Hey, we did better than the people making shit up. Maybe, barely, but prossibly.”
someone tell me any concern is for nothing and instead some people just think it’s funny to slowroll the **** out of them
Click into the report. P. 2.
Well that is also not awesome.
seriously, that post blows my mind. It doesn’t even seem sarcastic. You also maybe did better than the crazy cat lady on the corner of my street. ffs Dave.
So WAAF?
I will imagine that as soon as I get past the horror of imagining Trump as POTUS on 9/11
With my emotional hedge I didnt wanna put myself in a situation with my betting where I’d be even slightly rooting for a trump victory (not sure that would even be possible).
But I definitely had some nightmare scenarios with my hedge that are all basically playing out right now. Glad I dumped when I was up big
How does it take this long to count votes? seriously
Biden’s on track to win, unless we are being lied to about how many ballots are outstanding. The problem so far? We have been lied to several times about how many ballots are outstanding.
Montgomery only has 2800 outstanding.
I’ve been saying since yesterday I thought PA would be a lot closer than people were saying. Don’t see how it goes above 100K. Hopefully it’s solid 5-figure margin.
No, because Biden has so many paths to victory here, Nevada does appear locked up, so Biden only needs one of PA, AZ, or GA, all of which he is at least a favorite in.