The 2020 Election: Delaying the Inevitable

Trump +5 in Ohio seems bad.

2 Likes

I wonder how different Nate Silver’s life would’ve been had he started politics in 2016 instead of 2008.

6 Likes

Polling of Wisconsin is off by 10+ points. Absolutely incredible.

2 Likes

Seems like southwest Hispanics didnt break bad like the southeast hispanics

2 Likes

Socialism prob has nothing to do with it. More likely single issue on abortion or a machista culture that idolizes Trump.

3 Likes

NC just went from 95 to 94% Trump, now in the quite likely category from pretty likely!

If we flip Montana while losing the EC it means that the Russians didn’t bother to hack the voting machines there.

1 Like

CNN now gaming 271 EC vote Biden victories.

It’s over Johnny.

1 Like

Hah, stolen from Twitter:

Going to be a lot of sad kids tomorrow when they wake up to find their Halloween stash decimated.

5 Likes

It’s just a rerun of 2016.

https://twitter.com/naval/status/1323822606030528513

Think you’re going to be half right here.

Cornyn and Tuberville called as winners in senate (as expected)

Goddamn I’d have loved to pick one of those up, path to senate majority getting smaller and smaller

I bet Nate wishes he was trafalger right now.

what’s more likely, this or that they’re counting in-person first?

1 Like

6 Likes

Back to pretty likely :/

Yeah, we don’t know this:

From 538. We don’t know where these votes are coming from, right?

1 Like

I am going to watch tiktok. Done w this for now.

1 Like

Right. Like are you guys just eyeballing results on the TV and being like MIDWEST DOOMED? Because if so, what the fuck. If you have analysts saying the midwest is bad, link them.

2 Likes

Nice! Update us if he falls to rather likely.

1 Like