To expand on this a bit more, Lockett at 9% is so good. I had him on just about the same projection as Metcalf whose ownership I guessed would be in the 20% to 25% range. That’s what you should be looking for in tournaments.
The deep dive is a little more complicated. The reason Metcalf had a tough go of it is because he drew a shadow from Patrick Peterson. None of the sites I subscribe to were projecting that WR/CB matchup though. For instance, see:
However,
Dating back to Week 16 of last year, Metcalf has played six games against non-Peterson cornerbacks and averaged 4.7 catches and 96.2 yards per contest. However, against the Cardinals, he has only caught two passes for 23 yards combined in two games, and Peterson has mostly shadowed him during that time.
According to NextGenStats, Peterson tracked Metcalf on 42 of his 49 routes Sunday and allowed just one catch for six yards on four targets. Peterson’s toe-tapping interception in the end zone also came on a play in which he was guarding Metcalf.
Metcalf did not have a catch and was only targeted once when Peterson guarded him last year in Seattle.
The projected WR/CB matchups don’t always tell us much because the receivers switch around a lot:
Outside of shadow situations, LWRs and RWRs generally match up with both outside cornerbacks over the course of a game, as almost every wide receiver moves around the offensive formation to varying degrees, and almost every defense plays zone coverage on at least half of its snaps.
Lockett in the slot means avoids PP regardless of if you project the shadow coverage correctly. David Moore was probably a great play on a showdown slate but not sure he gets there enough on a full slate.
So, yeah, I liked Lockett and had a ton.