SARS-CoV-2: Electric Superflu

Normal run of the mill old Republican racist is a would be Klan leader - or vice versa - depends on whether you’re a racist in the Yacht Club or corner pub. The racism is the same though.

5 Likes

https://twitter.com/joshtpm/status/1244304298382708740?s=19

service*

2 Likes

Yeah, at first I was thinking his take was along the line of Trump just pulls back the curtains, but then it ended up being more like Trump is just a loud mouth, but things are more or less ok.

https://twitter.com/mattyglesias/status/1244308159033999361?s=19

5 Likes

Are these anecdotes outliers or will this kind of thing affect demographics in the near future?

Just asking the universe.

1 Like

With FL, I think the die has been cast and the result is snake eyes, but it appears to be mid roll to those wagering at the rail.

Seriously, 30 days from now I don’t see how FL doesn’t make NY look like a picnic.

5 Likes

https://twitter.com/KevINthe406/status/1244228588057972737?s=19

7 Likes

From seeing the Fauci 100-200k deaths interview, he seemed to be leaving himself plenty of room for even higher numbers while trying to convey that it’s a serious deal.

3 Likes

It’s going to be much higher.

I wouldnt’ put much stock into the day to day variations especially on the weekend. My gut feeling is that a lot of the record keeping type people don’t work on the weekend.

I miss Fly and Dvaut.

23 Likes

The thing florida has going for it is basically unlimited ventilators at the expense of every other state because Trump likes DeSantis and wants to win Florida in November.

2 Likes

Just got word from my regional manager that I’m essential. Hear that, fellas? Betcha wish you had to print out an email and carry it with you in case the cops stop you on your way to work tomorrow morning during a fucking pandemic.

7 Likes

The US’s grim death toll estimate in context

Dr Anthony Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, said up to 100,000 to 200,000 Americans could die from coronavirus.

He stressed that the estimate was based on predictive computer models, which generally overestimate the final numbers.

Dr Fauci’s prediction, however, is at the low end of the possible death toll calculated by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). As many as 200,000 to 1.7 million people could die, the CDC says.

Yet, if the death toll approached anywhere near Dr Fauci’s prediction, Covid-19 would still prove to be among the deadliest diseases in America.

The two highest causes of death in America are cancer, which kills around 600,000 annually, and heart disease, which kills around 650,000 annually, according to the CDC.

Come on guys, it’s not as bad as cancer!

3 Likes

ER was a pretty popular show back in the day.

Come on guys, more likely to die by accident

  • Heart disease: 647,457
  • Cancer: 599,108
  • Accidents (unintentional injuries): 169,936
  • Chronic lower respiratory diseases: 160,201
  • Stroke (cerebrovascular diseases): 146,383
  • Alzheimer’s disease: 121,404
  • Diabetes: 83,564
  • Influenza and pneumonia: 55,672
  • Nephritis, nephrotic syndrome, and nephrosis: 50,633
  • Intentional self-harm (suicide): 47,173

NB Stats last updated 2017.

I’m concerned about weekend reporting bias. Sample sizes and other factors will make it difficult to tease out for now.

That’s why I stick to minimum 3 day sloped. averages.

Anyone else feel like they have entered no more surprises mode and there is no news that seems jarring anymore?

Over the last 3 weeks it seemed like there were tons of “HOLY CRAP” moments, even the ones I saw coming it still felt surreal seeing them happen. Now its like “oh they are shutting down non-essential business in my state, yea of course, nothing surprising there.”

Is there anything surprising or shocking coming? If Trump announced today a federal lock-down of the whole country similar to say Italy I think I would just be like “Yea sure, now where did I put that remote”

The only thing I see as having some probability of happening that would make me go back to “HOLLY CRAP THIS IS SURREAL” type reaction would be some sort of announced military occupation of an area or something.

3 Likes

Is that a top 10 list? Suicide seriously the 10th most likely cause of death?