Ok I’m now tracking 3, 4, 5, and 6 day death rate exponents.
Duration-exponent-r^2
3d-.294 .985
4d-.293 .994
5d-.306 .996
6d-.297 .996
On target for 3/30 crossing the 1,000/day threshold in the US. (10k/day 4/7).
I hope it slows by then. Not much more than that. Our response sucks.
Best I can come up with flu is 200/day for a Small # of weeks in a bad season. 100/day is more common.
Rich people don’t work, so how could they be unemployed.
Well is it jobless rate or unemployment rate? They’re two different things and the article appears to use them interchangeably.
I mean 30% is bad for both but there’s a big difference between the U3 number and U6.
I hope y’all are right about the vaccine. I’m just saying it’s by no means a sure thing. This is based on that interview with Amesh Adalja (Senior Scholar at the Johns Hopkins University Center for Health Security) from a week or so back.
We already did luckily. He had a fever so we treated it, it went away and we just happened to have his 12 month check up the next day. He’s on day 3 of Amoxicillin.
LMFAO, Elon gets his name in the headline and the actual researcher fighting the disease doesn’t. The techbro savior mythos is just burned so deeply into our culture. They fucking throw us scraps and the corporate media immediately gives them a handie.
Those quarter of common colds are caused by four different coronaviruses, so you’re talking about 6.25% of colds per virus. Immunity conferred by a vaccine wears off. A lot of people don’t even get the flu vaccine, nobody is paying and lining up for a vaccine that prevents 6.25% of common colds. Vaccines are also famously unprofitable for pharma companies because they are expensive to manufacture (compared to pharmaceuticals) and are a one-off item. You make way more developing drugs which people have to take daily. In short, there’s no incentive whatsoever for anyone to have developed vaccines for the endemic coronaviruses.
CALL THEM LIES YOU FUCKING ■■■■ OF A NEWS STATION
Biggest unanswered questions regarding a vaccine are
Me and two of my kids spike fevers 1-2 degrees higher than anyone else (not sure if they do this as adults now). But if we get sick my wife will top out at 101. I’m going straight to 103.
My known record is 104. My ex said I called her at work delirious. She came home and said she could feel the heat from feet away.
#2 son got a spinal tap for an ear infection at age 1. He spiked 104 and was febrile. Literally went rigid at one point. They figured it had to be meningitis. Nope. Some Tylenol and ice to cool him down and he was good to go. When he was 4, same thing. Crying with every bump and turn in the car. Stiff. Carried him into the urgent care. Felt his body relax. Fever broke. 20 minutes later he’s sucking on a popsicle and chatting up the nurses (boy had game).
Okay. Fair enough. I thought you were trying to. determine whether she needed urgent care. Just pointing out that these on call numbers may be pretty useless overall, but this is the one thing that are good for.
Yeah, this. We’re not going to start developing, and then giving people 100 different vaccines for 100 different strains of the common cold… because it’s the common cold. With that said, I have certainly read several articles that state that a vaccine may not be possible.
To be fair, nobody should believe the Chinese fatality numbers for a second. There were viral videos of dead bodies lining up the halls of the hospitals when they were still reporting something like 70 fatalities total.
I needed a thermometer a week ago, ordered both of these, looks like you can get them in about a week. Maybe worth ordering now if you don’t have one. I could not find one in stores near me.
Https://www.amazon.com/dp/B07T6HL6P7?ref=ppx_pop_mob_ap_share (comes with free thermometer!)
https://www.amazon.com/dp/B06Y4MY4SP?ref=ppx_pop_mob_ap_share
I’ve seen more optimism on a vaccine as apparently these don’t recombine with the frequency of influenza virus. I’m too tired to read and comprehend tonight so I’ll just post this:
Moscow Mitch not looking so good on news clip I just saw
Call the doctor. We had the same with our 1 yo. We were given a prescription for ammoxicilin remotely that we were told to administer if it persisted for another day or two. Didn’t go in.
Doesn’t Japan have a huge elderly population? Something’s up with their stats, they should be having a huge mortality rate unless they already have strong protocols in place to protect people in nursing homes.
I literally could never do your job. I’ve had to wear a much less severe mask for staining things and I just sweat all over myself until the inside of the mask was soaked. Same with safety goggles. My face runs very hot.
Good to know. Also what does the curve look like with say 20% herd immunity? Is it smoother at least? That’s what I was wondering.
