So does NYT polls drop in a hour and 11 min or 11 minutes from now? I suspect an hour and 11 min.
Arizona: BIDEN- 49, TRUMP- 43
Florida: BIDEN- 47, TRUMP- 44
Pennsylvania: BIDEN- 49, TRUMP- 43
Wisconsin: BIDEN- 52, TRUMP- 41
PHEW.
Not “wrap it up” numbers. But fucking phew it’s not something scarier.
Pretty big samples, too.
OK LETS DO THIS
It’s almost lunchtime here for me, but I would bet a lot of money that there are more than a couple of UPers who woke up, glanced at the polls, and then rolled back over comfortable enough to get a few more hours of sleep.
Nope too wired.
Good polls.
https://media1.tenor.com/images/82616d0eeb44e18fe04ac78167313180/tenor.gif?itemid=8672517
I think they doubled the sample for this last set.
n=1862 for PA.
I find it strange that Nate isn’t be awake for these polls.
Nate wasn’t even awake for his SNL debut.
So we basically drawing to 2 solid +6s, AZ OR PA.
2.4 percent margin of error for PA.
This cursed map is outside the margin of error and will be ignored.
Mr. Biden’s lead is armored against last-minute developments in the race because of the scale of early and mail-in balloting that has already taken place as the country copes with a resurgence of the coronavirus. More than 90 million Americans had already cast their ballots as of midday Saturday, according to the United States Election Project. In three of the four states The Times surveyed, a majority of respondents said they had already voted, with Pennsylvania the exception.
More broadly, Mr. Trump is facing an avalanche of opposition nationally from women, people of color, voters in the cities and the suburbs, young people, seniors and, perhaps most significantly, new voters. In all four states, voters who did not participate in 2016, but who have already voted this time or plan to do so, said they support Mr. Biden by wide margins. That group includes both infrequent voters and young people who were not yet eligible to vote four years ago.
In Wisconsin, voters who did not cast a ballot in 2016 favor Mr. Biden by 19 points. They have a similarly lopsided preference in Florida, where Mr. Biden leads by 17 points. The advantage with people who sat out 2016 is 12 points in Pennsylvania and 7 points in Arizona.
https://twitter.com/mattyglesias/status/1322852950520307718?s=19
https://twitter.com/ThePlumLineGS/status/1322852329910116359?s=19
New electorate bitches.
Woke up today thinking it was Monday with a sore neck and was dreaming of California where I walked down the street to meet StimAbuser at his wild party with everyone dressed in Onesie’s
Dam my neck hurts…
checks out
When the rona’s over come on down, in the summer some wear nothing ::::