NEW TONE
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Why not both?
Federalist Soc/SCOTUS will also see if one narrow ruling in just PA could even possibly get trmp to 270, and consider if it needs to rig 3 other states in completely different way. no doubt there’s a point after which they don’t want to blow the credibility of their new conservative majority and will just rid themselves of trump with the stroke of a pen so they can pretend in 2024 that nothing ever happened. if they keep the senate, maybe it’s worth rigging for 4 more years, but if Dems bink 54-46, they just cut their losses and play filibuster and chip away via the courts.
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Not very important, but on Wednesday I checked the odds on Pinnacle for the competitive states they offer.
Checked again now. Added the difference from Wednesday night.
Converted to vig-free percentage.
I can’t bring myself to bet on this but kinda funny to see big changes in favor of Trump without any real polling improvement anywhere except Iowa.
| Biden | Trump | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona | 52 | 48 | (+4 trump) |
| Florida | 41 | 59 | (+3 trump) |
| Georgia | 40 | 60 | (+3 trump) |
| Iowa | 30 | 70 | (+11 trump) |
| Michigan | 73 | 27 | (+2 trump) |
| Minnesota | 76 | 24 | 0 |
| North Carolina | 51 | 49 | (+1 biden) |
| Ohio | 33 | 67 | (+3 biden) |
| Pennsylvania | 62 | 38 | (+2 trump) |
| Texas | 27 | 73 | (+1 biden) |
| Wisconsin | 75 | 25 | (+6 biden) |
‘Try’ is the word. But they’re soft and won’t follow through and achieve shit. I’ve neglected to weigh in on this because I don’t like even veering towards toxic machismo but these people are goddamn fucking pussies little pussycats veal cutlets. If your entire politics is animated by being content and comfortable yet still afraid, you don’t just magically become a fucking badass overnight ready to commit terrorism and murder no matter how many walmart guns you buy.
Honest to God, I’ve felt weird every time I’ve alluded to this in full (see above: toxic machismo, even though I’ve joked “I punched my first nazi when I was 13 and haven’t stopped since!”) but I used to hang out with the Progressive Labor Party and we’d travel out of county or state to neo-nazi and kkk rallies (because, related, by that time they were scared to set foot in Cook County much less Chicago) to fight them. Not, like, protest/counterprotest but violently run them off. And we were undefeated.
The only reason this, that they’re little baby soft Charmin™ wipes, seems otherwise now is two reasons: 1, they only show up at places with no culture of violently running them off and, even bigger, 2, they use social media to LARP and share pics/vids of them shit talking with their little arsenals so much that they’ve gotten high on their own supply, to the point that they’ve given you all a contact high!
Like ok, @oneeyedtripping posted this in the trump thread,
https://twitter.com/wxandnews/status/1322575404016803840
Stim said this,
and I was like, how in the fuck did anybody involved with that nonsense not see that as the only outcome?!?
Another example, and I say this not to encourage violence or sound tough but to put people’s minds at ease: I’ve mentioned my sister before. Attorney downtown Chicago. Wears pantsuits and shit. But she actually lives across the border in rural Indiana and commutes. And she owns multiple guns. All her liberal and leftist Indiana friends own multiple guns. These MAGA chuds are not going to rich white areas, they’re not going to the hood, and their rural poor and working class white opponents are like, “Bitch I got guns too, you don’t scare me.”
This is all something you don’t have to worry about.
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Yeah, but some of those that work forces are the same that burn crosses.
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…
…
…Ay, there’s the rub.
So I guess it helps to remember the frontline is everywhere.
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so the weekend before the election is over. it’s just 2 days now. and only one more episode of tucker carlson before voting is over in the most significant time zone in the country.
how do the never-trumper fox execs not give him a weekend special to disclose the hard drive information??? what world is this?? so you’re telling me the guy very likely to win the election is bigly compromised with corrupt dealings, and i gotta wait from friday night to monday night the night before the election to get the news story???
FOR SHAME, fox news executives. for stifling conservative speech and figuratively “cancelling” tucker carlson’s big scoop with your pro-biden agenda. oann better pick up the slack when the party bifurcates or else trump will have to start his own network and traveling live show
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i agree. chasing a bus on the highway or blocking a bridge in nyc is just a place where they can’t easily be challenged. worst even the police could do to them is pull over. the BH rally looked very sad actually. numbers don’t compare to blm protests, it way more trucks and way fewer people.
i don’t know what 96 miles of highway in arizona translates to, but i don’t see it as a lasting political movement either. the message seems to be “we’re on the side of the road, because freedom, deal with it”, or something to that effect?
or more likely they are trying to get retweeted by the fuhrer and show off to their birther friends, while they grift.
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I haven’t been thinking about that part. Is he really going to beat his 2016 vote total?
What a sad country we’ve become (always were and this just exposes it more??) when that many people want him to be president.
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https://twitter.com/AOC/status/1323029852346265600
We trust in AOC. If she clowns on them, they are defeated.
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If that happens, say whatever you want.
You may recall back in the day when I had an issue with certain rhetoric, I had a qualifier… Non-violence as long as there are non-violent remedies.
I also basically had no issue with any rhetoric in May/June during the George Floyd protests.
Suffice it to say if Trump steals this I will not be urging people not to call for broken windows or pretty much anything else.
It occurs to me that he’s right: we won’t hear much about COVID on 11/4. We’ll be hearing about the attempted authoritarian power grab.
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yet 33.3% of my posts the last few weeks get flagged lmao.
i don’t want to head to philly or dc, but as i’ve been saying for a while now, i’m packed and ready. walls don’t need to be scalable lol.
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Sigh
https://twitter.com/mattnegrin/status/1323087084719116288?s=21
https://twitter.com/oliverdarcy/status/1323086207719538688?s=21
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Ask Gretchen Whitmer how she feels about that. Also keep in mind that the people guarding the ballots would probably be thrilled to see them set on fire.
Yeah I mean I’m not talking about awval and Inso0 and the dime a dozen deplorable who’s going to be parked on the couch watching Fox News. I’m talking about Proud Boys and far-right white supremacists militias. How many of them does it take to force their way in and torch some ballots? 10? 50? 100?
Don’t they keep showing up in Portland and clashing with antifa?
I’m less concerned about voter intimidation (it’ll have a small non-zero impact, but small) and more concerned about the ballots being guarded, I assume, by Philly PD (who are not on our side).
I’m far from a tough guy or antifa or a dude who runs off neo-Nazis, but a lot of brown folks live near me and if some white supremacists wanna fuck around on Election Day I’ll go stand there and try to make voters feel safe or escort them to the line. I’m confident that if I feel that way a lot of people do and you only need a handful of people to show up and do the right thing.
My bigger concern is the mail-in ballots being protected.
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I dunno man they’ve got some fancy rubber bullets and tear gas and pepper spray. Seems like the exact type of situation it’s designed for, except for the skin color and political preferences of the belligerents.
More specifically, the police are always going to protect them but when the police join them that’s when it’s clearly been taken up a notch and you know it when you see it, and you can adjust accordingly.
Like that vid in that tweet, figuratively the police were of course on the chuds’ side, but literally they were just there to protect them, everybody knew it, and as such everybody easily ran them off. Needing the cops to hold your hands kinda puts a dent in the intimidation factor.
I’m drinking and I have thoughts, Biden is going to win.
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