This trumpkin caravan mob is straight up banana republic insanity. Next trump will be recruiting child soldiers.
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From Covid data modeler Steven Millman, we might be WAAF.
ELECTION PREDICTION: Keeping with tradition, I’m publishing my last election model on the weekend before election day. To refresh memories, my 2016 most probably model predicted a Clinton win with only 272 electoral votes with a 40% likelihood of a Trump victory. This was obviously much closer to the eventual outcome than most of the models at the time.
Biden is performing substantially better in 2020 than Clinton did in 2016, but Trump still has a 28% chance of a win based on my models. Models take into account anticipated turnout (by state), changes in registration by party (where available), changes in state demographies since 2016, most recent polling, and polling momentum. the unprecedented early voting injects a fair bit of additional uncertainty into the models that I cannot adequately correct for. Once again, my modeling is showing a much higher likelihood of a Trump win than other published models, but Biden is still outperforming Clinton’s 2016 run. I’ve said it before, but this is MUCH CLOSER than the media is presenting it to be. If you care about the outcome, MAKE A PLAN and VOTE. Particularly if you live in Georgia, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Ohio or Florida, but really anywhere.
Because of the massive proportion of voters taking advantage of early voting, I cannot reasonably provide a “what to look for early” strategy like I’ve done in the past. Plan on not knowing who wins on election night unless it’s a landslide. DO NOT PANIC if Trump looks like he’s running away with it on election day. Multiple polling sources including my own have shown that far more Biden supporters are voting by mail than Trump supporters. Mail in results are counted later than day-of-election voting in most states. Over the course of the evening and the next few days, Biden will be picking up votes quickly as mail in votes are counted. The media has dubbed this a “blue shift.”
That said, if Trump loses Florida, you can pretty much assume it’s over. If Georgia or Ohio flips to Biden, it’s going to be a landslide.
Whenever I see people talking about NPAs, it makes me think of NPCs. They should just call them independents IMO.
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Meh, NPC might actually be the right mental mode for these people.
(Yes, I know independent is different than undecided, but it felt like a good joke).
People are going to die on Tuesday. Guaranteed. I’m starting to feel a little sick. I’m refilling my quarantine stocks.
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I’m pretty sure that however many die on election day it’ll be a small fraction of the number of people who die on that day from COVID. Isn’t everyone else dissociating at this point? If not you should try it.
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he kinda already did with the kenosha shooter
Does anyone have the result of the Trump motorcade? Like, just a bunch of fucking idiots who followed a Biden bus for x minutes, got bored, and then went home?
Sounds like they cancelled events.
My brother and I have a bet. We both think a death. I got Nov 3rd. He’s got aftermath.
Nothing but bragging rights on the line.
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We have the Trump Trains here in Lubbock occasionally.
I think in the days after election these guys will probably go to work, else the repo man will come for the coal roller.
We might have an after hours civil war i suppose.
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So the terrorists won? I’m sure this outcome will discourage them on Tuesday and the days to follow.
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https://twitter.com/Acyn/status/1322587256675213312
It wasn’t him, Joe, it was you… you don’t understand. I coulda had class. I coulda been a contender. I coulda been somebody, instead of a bum, which is what I am, let’s face it. It was you, Joe.
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Yeah thats a pretty horrible outcome. i can’t blame them though, good chance you could get killed. I would’ve preferred they carry on, but can’t blame them.
Nah this is out of context. He was saying he could have been the best fundraiser ever but he doesn’t take money from special interests like Joe. ( LOL )
The whole bit was about Joe taking special interest money and him not. his " I coulda been " is coulda been a huge fundraiser if I wanted too, but he didn’t want too because he’s too loyal and would have to give these people favors.
You’re both going to be right.
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It’s really about the energy level. He seems very half-hearted.