I can’t find it now I think it was in 2p2 but in 2017 there was a long thread about how it was impossible for Dems to take back the Senate until 2022 at the earliest. I remember being the only
One saying 2020 could do it.
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Okay that’s what I was thinking yeah.
Apparently this was one of the “devastating” polls this jackass was referring to:
https://mobile.twitter.com/AmandiOnAir/status/1315660149843951622
I mean, I guess? It would have been devastating if it had dropped in like March I guess. Now it’s pretty meh.
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You already posted the trendline, though. A 6 point swing is massive.
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Don’t get me wrong, it’s great. But the way he was talking we were expecting like a Biden +20 or something.
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Pretty sure that would have had to have been after the 2018 elections. In 2017, D’s only needed to pick up 2 seats or 1 seat and Presidency to take back Senate. D’s even had a legit shot to take Senate in 2018 (538 had it around 20%). Things only started looking bleak after the 2018 election where R’s gained 2 seats.
You know that’s impossible when Trump has a hard floor at 42% of voters. But even a 3-4 point swing from the status quo has Biden thinking about winning Alaska and a Senate that’s comfortable enough to even keep a majority through a bad 2022.
lol 300 minutes at the Main Office.
Dropped my ballot off a week ago. I’m no sucker.
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I’ll admit it. I thought this after 2018. I didn’t think anything outside of +CO +ME and -AL was possible. This scenario still could happen though. Long way to go.
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So North Dakota may be a few days away from being the first state in the country to actually have hospitals overrun. I wonder if it puts the state in play. Probably not.
Lol at this now being the bar he has to clear. Not a bad thing.
Pulling this from anywhere in particular? Okay just to say the COVID thread or whatever if I can find it there.
