Ya I was being a bit of smart ass but at some point “favoured” seems a little weak.
BTW I think someone already mentioned the latest model talk, but Nate said if the election were held today the model gives Biden a 95% chance to win and that it’s pretty hard for the model to go further than that.
2 Likes
I asked my old stats professor and he says you’re correct
I caught that Smirconish bit as well. Not only horrible analytically, but absolutely awful in presentation as he repetitively went through the same formulaic comparison for each state.
1 Like
It was journalist malpractice.
smurk is one of those old-guard guys that nate was talking about when he came up with the “a bet is a tax on bullshit” line. dude is totally useless
Has this been posted yet?
Also, is it sexist? Yes, I think it is.
Seems kind of effective in a sense, though. I know it’s men we need to worry about, not women, but in general I like the idea of giving people permission to quietly forget about a previous mistake.
It’s taken from this:
But her EMMMMMAAAAAAAIIIIIILLLLLLZZZZ:
- No with a but;
- Yes with an if.
Done.
1 Like
Um ok
Really strange post, I wasn’t posting a word problem, it was more about a cnn commentator comparing the candidate to a virus.
Two of my neighbors had both Trump and Messner signs on their lawns, and this morning both Trump signs were gone.
Thank you, TikTok!
4 Likes
Lot to unpack on this one. Apparently the GOP thinks that anyone gives a shit about immigration in 2020. And why the decent shot of Biden but potato quality Tina Smith? 
There’s one person in my neighborhood (who looks like a fat ex-cop) that had Trump signs up. He had 2, then there was one that looked like it had been stomped on and now it’s just a Trump flag hanging from a 2nd story window. About 15 Biden signs in the area (PA suburb).
7 Likes
I’m aware of what you were doing. You clearly were not aware of what I was doing.
1 Like
I dunno that I’d call it ‘sexist’ per se, or maybe just that ‘sexist’ is too vague. From the context, you assume it’s a regretted one-night stand, but at the end, it plays more like escape from an abusive relationship. The former I’d defend on the grounds that, well, consider a gender-flipped version. Clearly much much worse, right? So calling that sexist implies an almost Spinal Tap-like understanding of ‘sexism’.
The latter I’d think very distasteful. And I mean, I remember the Bush years and hell, even the Obama years. There was a lot of talk from libs/the left, probably including me, about GOP voters having battered spouse syndrome etc. Definitely not going to draw that comparison these days.
I take your point about effectiveness, though. I had a similar idea, with a series of ads featuring people in MAGA gear watching montages of Trump’s most clownish bits, each ad scored to a different version of this song tailored to the socio-economic coding of the characters in each ad (there’s a surprisingly large and varied number of covers). They’d start out cheerful and happy and gradually become sombre and depressed or something like that.
1 Like
https://twitter.com/josiensor/status/1315002123134930945?s=21
The thread is worth reading, olds keep getting sick at the rally
6 Likes