The actual funny comparison between postle and Robbi is postle went for more than a year blatantly and obviously cheating and it wasn’t called out. Robbi plays one admittedly insane hand on her third ever session and here we are 10,000 posts into it and 47 hours of podcast and live YouTube streams.
It doesn’t take a phd in social science to figure out why that might be.
You’d need the same blowup for it to get covered, and I think Garrett is only blowing up at someone new/unknown. It’s just not happening to someone he has history with.
360k is an insane amount for a lot of people. If this hand was $5k or something it’s never getting covered, but do you remember when you got into poker and told friends you made $500 or whatever and how jealous/happy they were? The money here is huge.
I’ll admit I’ve wondered it a couple of times, and I also believe someone as smart as he is (or most of this forum is) would be able to get away with it forever.
I also think his reaction to this makes it 0.0% that he’s cheating.
Sure - but more often than not he’s right in these big pots. If you’re smart with your cheating, you wouldn’t be 100% right, just right enough to still rake in huge profits.
Galfond covers the Bayesian logic so well I won’t reiterate but I’ll add that if we are actually being progressives who should be aware our our own biases and those of the social structure we should be far more careful in levelling cheating accusations at a women in poker. Same reason a cop should second guess themselves if they are pulling over a black man.
We know there is a implicit bias to assume a young beautiful women playing in a big game can’t be legit. Even if we don’t think this consciously we know enough to understand unconscious bias.
This fact alone should make our null hypothesis that she didn’t cheat.
He’s “right” more by buying in for 200k+ in a 200/400 game and putting people all in when they basically always have one pair holdings. He’s the best at aggressively mixing up huge bets with made hands and bluffs. It’s not like they’re some passive player picking off bluffs. They’re just very aggressive and have deep pockets and play vs the right lineups.
He knows how to bluff. It’s by putting people to difficult decisions when they have mediocre hands/a capped range. It’s not by calling off with Jack high.
What about the biases of people who don’t think she’s young and not really beautiful?
The basic assumption of those who think that she is probably cheating is that no one, not even the dumbest woman, would ever make a play that dumb, so it has to be cheating. The assumption of those who believe she is probably not cheating is that, yes, she can be that dumb.
He also crushed it online before transitioning to live, and had a reputation as one of the best players in the LA area before the streams were a thing. So him consistently crushing it on stream is in line with what would have been expected. His style of play didn’t change, from what I’ve heard, either. (Based mostly on what DGAF has said about him.)
OK, could he have done a really dumb thing because her breasts made all the blood rush into his penis and away from his brain? Can we confirm if GMan is a boob man?
I’m now being moderated for lashing back out at @Clovis8 so I’m going to go ahead and report his posts, too. Not gonna be the victim of the abuse AND be the only one moderated for it.
I have no idea what’s going on in this thread, but please try to be a little more considerate to one another. I bet you guys could have a good discussion over a beer if you met irl.
Clovis has been out of line for two days and double digit posts, claims his posting at me has been 100% appropriate, and triggered me to snap and tell him to fuck off a few times after responding politely the first nine times. Now I’m getting moderated for it. All quoted in one spot:
Edit: I’ve been asked to remove the link to this post, which is post #4182.