Poker Hands and Strategy

Last time I played there this Italian kid sat down, lost AA v Kk, KK v AA, hit a set vs KK and got it in w/my aces pf and mucked on a 7 high runout in the first 2 orbits.
Nice to be in for $2400 in 25 minutes.

Are they the guys who are afraid of the deeper games at the Venetian and Wynn?

That’s funny. I played an hour of 1/3 spread tonight and kept my perfect 2019 going with a $286 win. I was card dead for the first few rounds and picked up 88 under the gun, open raised to $15 and middle aged chinese guy calls. Flop is chef’s kiss 8AKr and I lead for $20, he min raises and I call. Turn goes check-check and I bet $30 on a river blank, he insta-shoves, I insta-call and immediatedly table my hand. He slams his AKo face up and starts celebrating until someone tells him I have a set. He took it pretty well. I had a very similar hand with AA UTG against a different middle aged chinese guy a bit later, open to $15 and flop was 774, I bet $25, he calls, turn is another 4, I check-call $30, and the river is an A and I check-insta-call his shove and he confidently tables his hand and is most unpleased to see my boat. Got pretty lucky tonight and am happy to be 10 for 10 in 2019, but I’m going to play at least 3 more times before NYE, so I expect variance to catch up with me. It has been a fun ride though. Shout out to Jonathon Little and Flopzilla–time for me to run my 45o hand that I folded on the button after 4 limps like a weak-tight little bitch and would have turned quads with through FZ to see how bad I fucked up. Dude on my immediate left spiked a K OTR and checked down 4’s full of Kings for some reason, so maybe I wouldn’t have stacked him, but he was short stacking the whole time anyway. I don’t have sour grapes or anything. Well…maybe a little.

Since my run at the $150 tourneys of 4 $2k+ scores in 6 weekends, including a $7k, I’ve gone probably 40 BIs with only a couple min-cashes. Suffice it to say I no longer think 200% ROI is realistic. Poker is an ugly game. Thank god I don’t need it to pay my bills.

Yeah, welcome to MTTs.

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Thoughts on Kym Lim folding quad Qs? Action in link.

No read on villain except he’s a “reg”. I’d also want to know what kind of read she could reasonably expect he has on her. I would never ever make that fold but it seems like she could have more info that makes it more of a correct play.

Sick hand. AA would probably check the flop but checking the turn seems like a mistake.

KJdd I think would bet the turn too and possibly the flop as well.

I don’t play at that level but I feel like that should be a call.

I think it is a defensible play, but I question putting it out on Twitter.

what the hell else can the other dude have but the nuts to back raise THAT raise on the river on this board?

Sure a blocker but that takes balls even I don’t have. Trying to get people off quads isn’t my thing. A reg isn’t reraising AA at this point with this action. I mean river bet started out at 200 and in this hand we’re already at a 21k wager.

Quads only beat a bluff here unless reg went full idiot with AA and it’s a pretty hard bluff to make. Yes folding monsters seemingly too much is all the rage these days but I probably do too. Also I would never actually admit this if I did it in a hand. (okay I’ve done it 3 times, I’m 3/3 all to higher quads, they made it too obvious and these were all back in the era every one of them autoshowed them)

There’s a few hands like this where twitter explodes and people think that was a horrible fold and I didn’t blink an eye on it at first like this one.

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KdJd is definitely in a reg’s check range on this flop and turn. The thing with turn betting that hand as PFR into a shit load of people is it’s hard to call it with any non Q so checking is probably better hope for a splash, or a lower flush or whatever to just fire or maybe even an A from a weaker player who knows. Our QQ lady didn’t reraise preflop (so that is some merit in this reg thinking she does not have QQ, but with this kind of pot he has to think she definitely might have a straight flush, thing is at worst she has AQ and that makes zero sense too given how AA makes sense this particular line of UTG so far)

hard to know without knowing the reg, some of them are just plain stupid with their thought processes but if he’s any competent at all without being any real sort of bluffer that you’ve seen it’s a fold.

I never tell people when I fold a monster.

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If the reg never bluffs there and never raises with AA it’s a fold.

I’ve never played stakes close to that so I don’t know what the game plays like.

I also don’t know if reg means pro. I play with a lot of regs that are not pros and spaz out from time to time.

I guess at that level people don’t spaz out?

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I don’t give a fuck about the hand really (lol jk it’s a call) but posting it was a pure troll move. Respect

Can we talk about how god fucking awful the flop check is

Ehh, they do. I’ve played 25/50/100nl once and saw some incredible spaz, but not from any of the regs/pros. I wouldn’t expect to see a total spaz from a grinder in that game. If it was the whale instead of the regular, totally different story.

I don’t hate this fold at all. When it gets from $200 to $21k on the river after two streets checked through, any decent thinking player would slow down with AA or TT, especially because AA massively discounts the likelihood of Kym having AQ. I’m also assuming the regular knows Kym wouldn’t spaz in this spot with worse than AA. It’s one of those hands that looks sick on its face, but when you break it down is actually a reasonable fold.

It was just under a pot-sized raise. GTO-wise she had to defend 1/2 the time. If her range there is only quads+ then it’s a GTO fold; if it can include AA then it depends. But it’s safe to say she made mistakes earlier in the tree. I don’t think Polk is laughing at the fold itself as much as the fact that she put herself into that spot to begin with.

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The reg should be betting the flop or turn as well right? I mean, if you can’t get QQ to put all the money in there you made some mistakes.

Unless he had AA.

Flop: it’s not wrong to sometimes play draws passively. If he checks and the Turn is a diamond, he gets to have flushes in his range.

Turn: I think he should bet most of the time with his flush.

Not necessarily, it’s her problem not his. If he plays GTO-ish while she plays in a way where she’s folding quads, he’ll be more than fine in the long run. QQ definitely should have done something before the river.

Plus if you think about it, postflop he played the hand exactly as Mike The Apostle would have ;)

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It is important to have a balanced check raising range on dry flops. It is not important to have a balanced range with quads plus.

Well it’s tricky with how blockers work. If we are 4betting river without the Jd for value we need to sometimes be calling from a GTO perspective, otherwise villain can just ship any of his Jd hands which is way too wide. But I’m not entirely sure we even should be 4betting quads for value here, especially with these river sizings so far where it seems both players are a bit greedy.

As played and in the real world though, I actually do like the fold and I don’t even think it’s close, though certainly not easy since this spot is so far from routine. “Regs” simply won’t spazz out for value for this many buyins and someone using a blocker to move someone off top boat or quads is such a rare form of sicko. Basically it’s either a fold or OP is lying about her read.

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