Part of poker is sometimes our opponents have a better hand. C’est la vie
Our Delta ev is:
+900Pcall and win -900Pcall and lose +0 (Pfold)
If we think we win vs 66% of his range and he calls with all his range that beats you + 50% of the range that loses you we have.
Pcall and win = Pcall and lose = 0.33
So that’s our breakeven. Not sure if you come up with different percentages here but the above would be my ranging for this V making it pretty much marginal.
Does anyone play on Pokerbros and have an in to a good club for low stakes? Like 50NL and below? I see online there are some big clubs or unions but no idea how you get into them.
1/3 with button straddle. Effective stack is 800
I am on button with $6 straddle on.
Utg raises to 20. 2 callers to me.
I call 4d9d
Pot is 84
Flop Qd4s3d
Checked to me
I bet $45
Two calls
Pot is 214
Turn 2c
Checked to me. I check? (Thinking one of the main draws has hit. Not sure about this check)
River 4h
Checked to me. I bet $70.
Call from v1. V2 does the head shake and then all in for $450.
Call or fold?
I think you’re way ahead of Villain 1. I don’t get what V2 is repping with his line here. Any reads?
I’d be inclined to call as your river sizing might have induced this. You look like a meh queen who won’t call here. I do wish our kicker was better though.
As one of my best coaches used to say, “sometimes you just gotta jiggle their retard switch.”
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I’d fold to the river raise, since I can’t see many (any?) worse hands he could be raising for value.
Also, I hate the PF call with less than 130bb effective.
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I think turn check is good. Nut flush draw I might bet, non-nut flush draw is a good check
Also, is either Villain the original raiser pf?
You are folding the button for $14 into a pot of $69 preflop?
No preflop raiser folded to my bet on flop.
I’d rather call heads-up against a single raiser than four-way to the flop.
I fold V1 calls with his last $100 with 88 V2 shows JJ.
I wish I was making this up!!!
I bet it was a bad value raise instead of a bluff attempt.
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In hindsight, because it was checked around on turn v2 can’t expect me to bet on that river card so his cr makes no sense. I should have called! Dammit!
If I were V2, I would think your line looks like a flush draw, so I would check in the hopes of inducing a bluff, but I would also see it as a protected pot with V1 having so little money behind, so I would only c/r for value with hands that expect to be called by Qx.
I mean, I’ll play with two cocktail napkins on the button getting 5:1 if they’re all gonna check to me
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Don’t ever respond to Bruce’s poker advice. It’s always horrific. He is like the guy from the “The Big Short” where the trader tells his team to just buy the opposite of whatever the one guy does. If Bruce thinks it’s a bad play it’s virtually certain to be the right play.
All you do is troll me in this thread, but at least I’m not some guy who thinks that cashing in a $100 tournament at Run It Up Reno makes me a mixed game expert.
If you’re playing 49sooted I would assume your table image is such that he’s value shoving AQ.
ETA: or JJ
Definitely.
From the hands you’ve posted and the way you describe the games you play I think it would take a nuclear explosion to get me off of trips here.
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