Tester is pretty well-loved in MT but the last election gave the GoP crazies a ton of control. I may be over-paranoid but I’m actually not certain we’ll have a fair election.
Correct me if I’m wrong (because I don’t know the nuances of MT politics), but this feels a little similar to 2020 (a presidential year), where a reasonably popular former governor Democrat (Bullock) got smoked when he went up against Daines
I guess this is different because Bullock was challenging the incumbent, while Tester is the incumbent. Since most voters are dumb as bricks, that might be the difference.
Can’t say I’m feeling hopeful though.
Bullock got smoked alongside all the other Democrats who underperformed polls to a suspicious extent. It looked like we were on the edge of becoming purple-adjacent but we got absolutely trashed instead.
Result: he got 9%
The winners were a dude similar to Biden who is the most conservative candidate in the race and a lefty. The winners were endorsed by the FOP and the teachers union.
https://twitter.com/chi_urbanist/status/1630749966623821824?t=DBKzlVvQ6DwbPzSQrfInrw&s=19
Love when the most conservative candidate is a lefty
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Same was said about 2022 tbf.
Not in the senate. Democrats had legitimate pickup opportunities in PA (which they got) and also NC and WI (which they didn’t). Plus the seats they had to defend were nowhere near as difficult as they are in 2024.
In 2024, the best pickup chance is LOL Florida. The second best is LMAO Texas. The third best is an absolutely absurd Indiana, where Trump won by 16 points.
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I seem to recall, and correct me if I’m wrong, that the sentiment was
(1) it will be a bloodbath (53-47 R BEST CASE) and
(2) lol @ u clowns that think otherwise
I’m not wrong, am I?
I don’t think that was the sentiment at all.
I thought people thought that it was a massively high variance election where anything from 53-47 D to 55-45 R was plausible.
I’ll admit I was on the more pessimistic side, but the final result of +1 D seat didn’t surprise me a ton.
Democrats gaining senate seats in this election cycle would be one of the most shocking political results of my lifetime.
BRB
If you find receipts that say that I said anything like this:
I will happily admit to being wrong.
I don’t know how to link to posts but a vast majority of posters believed the Senate would be lost.
A fellow named “champ” stated:
Dems will lose everything that’s up for grabs, gonna be a full on rout
(Chupacabre hearted this)
I also was not directly accusing you of the general sentiment, but rather the community writ large.
Here’s your thoughts about Dems’ chances;
- Voter suppression is going to be kicked into overdrive.
Combine that with the fact that the party in charge usually loses seats in the midterm and that I’m not expecting Democrats to actually fight back on this with anywhere near the firepower that is required.
Not fighting back with “anywhere near the firepower required” sounds like you’re expecting a bloodbath.
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Moar from “champ”:
I don’t think you guys understand what gerrymandering + the GOP pulling out all the stops to keep people from voting is gonna do.
Hearted by several posters.
And it goes on and on and on and on. A bunch of battered wives sipping and spilling tea.
Yeah, I’ll own it. I thought Dems were gonna lose bigly. But you scrutinized my hearts? You’ve crossed the line, sir!
Fade my picks. EZ Money. They don’t call me Retrodamus for nothing!
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The narrative I’m going to make up now is whether a far left type can beat a normie Democrat in one of the furthest left contests in the country. We’ll see!
I don’t think I was expecting a “bloodbath”, but I was expecting more D losses than actually happened.
That said, I wasn’t in the “LOL you if you think Ds will do better than 47-53” camp and really don’t think that many of us were.
That said, even you must admit that the easiest ones to pick up in 2022 (PA/NC/WI) are way easier than the easiest ones to pick up in 2024 (FL/TX/IN), and the hardest ones to hold in 2022 (GA/NV/AZ) are easier to hold than the hardest ones to hold in 2024 (WV/MT/OH). It’s a completely different election cycle and I will be tempted to LOL at people who think that anything better than 50-50 plus VP has even a 1% chance of happening.
This is incorrect. There are only like 5,000 hours in a month, so my time is limited, but if you read through the thread a very vocal majority was despondent.
I think there was some split between pre roe overturning and post roe overturning. Pre we all thought it was going to be a nightmarish slaughter. Post we were a bit more hopeful that dems had a chance to avert disaster.
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Louis DeJoy: still employed
Why is Schumer letting stuff like this get to a vote?