https://x.com/DanGreenMN/status/1820585720341278740
Thatās uhh a very specific vibe this person picked up from watching some vehicles roll out. Anyway, keeping hope alive. The betting markets do seem to have bought in though; Walz has jumped out to a notable lead on both sites.
Heās already a Governor. Wouldnāt he have an entourage of black SUVs already?
Yes. Shit, city mayors and state legislators often have security details.
Right, thatās what I thought. Not really sure why the bettors have chosen this moment to flip.
Itās the Walz to Walz coverage
Iām stunned at how close we are to the announcement and betting markets are still so close to 50/50. I canāt recall another example like this.
I donāt get these betting markets. People know the answer 100%. How are they not manipulating these markets?
I went ahead and got my car stereo back in before the Walzmentum could be killed off. Drenched in sweat and now realize I canāt put off a new battery much longer. Oh well, at least thereās tunes.
If anyone knows the answer, itās the digital/graphics team. Iām sure theyāre already compiling the announcement video/ad and redesigning the logo. Iām actually pretty impressed that nothing has actually leaked (trust me, no one in the above media frenzy knows what the hell they are talking about).
Why are they not putting their entire investment savings on the right answer?
I donāt know? Maybe they are actually sincerely loyal
Yeah me too. Running a tight ship!
The practical limit on PI is/was $1900 per market. Tried to google it for polymarket couldnāt do it.
Oh ok that makes sense. I was assuming you could bet a huge amount. So not worth risking your reputation for a thousand dollar win.
No limit on poly afaik, Iāve seen plenty of people in the comments with mid five figs on Shapiro/Walz/both (poly shows positions unlike predictit)
How is this market possibly legit then if many people know the real answer? I have to be missing something here.
Thatās the best part: it isnāt.
I remember last election there was definitely insider trading going on at PI.
US isnāt allowed, need to use a VPN and need to use crypto, guessing that stops a lot of casuals