Iowa Caucus Predictions... SEASON Thread

Have to factor in when this market might settle as well. Predictit has a history of dragging out seemingly straightforward resolutions for weeks or even months. Give them a clusterfuck like this and they might just keep all the money.

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I think Pete could do well in NH. But he better have some serious momentum because it becomes tough sledding for him after that.

Donā€™t forget Steyer in NH, NV, and SC. He will be a factor in those states if itā€™s still a fractured mess.

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well if it ends up cancelled, I believe joe biden yes wins all the money. I would have to quit predictit.

fwiw, I believe Steyer has a real shot at winning SC.

No if it ends up cancelled they all resolve no.

He can do well but itā€™s hard to imagine him beating Bernie and Liz in their backyards.

actually Iā€™m not sure what PI would rule there, given it did technically happen with even a cancellationā€“everyone ties at 0 delegates. Is there a precedence for PI on this? PI is erratic with rulings sometimes.

The only thing Iā€™m sure they wonā€™t do is decide to not take the fees and just refund money.

Not that crazy if Biden collapses and Warren and Bernie split things up.

I donā€™t even care at this point. Everything is for shit. Iā€™m going to vote for who I like in the primary and then vote for the Dem in the general. Done.

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Legend has it if you start in Chicago and head straight west, past the city limits, the suburbs, the grass, the cows, the corn, the random strip club quite literally in the middle of a town called Nowhere, IL, pop 37, you will smack right in to Iowaā€™s beer belly camel hump.

I canā€™t verify this firsthand.

I mean, heā€™s not wrong, he just needs to follow up and explain what the bad thing is.

Matthews: Imagine if one of those people became president!!!

6ix: I know right!!!

Has anyone downloaded this app and tried messing around with it? Iā€™m pretty confident you could change the votes in this caucus using an SQL injection.

Like when Foox Noos posted AOCā€™s unedited platform and was like, ā€œShe wants your family to not die in a gutter! That means you, right wing news viewer!ā€

Strap in.

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I literally just woke up and this thread is the start of my news.

You just gave me a bad feeling.

good thing they have paper backups in all precincts.

lol at Mayo Pete claiming victory when itā€™s totally up in the air

I donā€™t even know the context yet.

It just gave me The Foreboding.

Iā€™m not a fan of that idea taking legitimate hold regardless who wins.

In a stunning turn of events 100% of IA caucus voters wrote in 'HRC for Supreme Ruler For Life"

oh myā€¦

sigh how many timesā€¦

The campaigns all have people at every precinct recording the results. those people send the results separately to the campaigns. Pete happened to have a captain at every single Iowa precinct (1679, i think). Iā€™m sure Bernie and warren did too, with the way their ground games were. They have the numbers.