https://twitter.com/HCTrudo/status/1224578194948468739
bernie only has 40% of precinct data, this is a really lame reveal given that not knowing which ones these are matters a lot.
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Eagerly woke up to check results today, expecting pretty much anything, but no results was quite the surprise.
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Bernie with 40% showing him with a lead, vs Pete with 77% and ‘outperforming internal #s’ - not great for Bernie based on this
Good thing it throws some pretty detailed SQL code on error. All of the most secure apps work that way too.
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LOOOOL BIDEN
KLOB ALMOST PULLED IT OFF
рассмеяться вслух, вы, тупые американцы, позволяющие с помощью такой простой программы определить ваше первое состояние
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I’m sure some retired dentist or former county clerk led the app effort, hiring the website design “tech company” owned by his buddy. Obama’s team likely could have made something better in 2008.
On TYT they reported the story of a precinct leader who tried to use the app, couldn’t get it to work, then tried to call in, and didn’t get through. Eventually he gave up and went to bed. He said he was going to report the results tomorrow morning, but he has a dentist appointment so he won’t be able to report the results until after 10am at the earliest.
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I’d probably take some Pete on PredictIt @ 39c based on that. Pete’s guy sounds like he knows what he’s talking about.
We’ll see how this goes. It may have been fatal for Biden, but I really don’t know who wins or loses from the clusterfuck. If either Bernie or Pete was the clear winner or Warren was a close second, they probably lost relative to where they could be.
https://twitter.com/ArjavRawal/status/1224582060376907777
this dude at least used to leak all the polls, this is a hell of a lol biden if this happens jfc
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Nice to see Biden rejected. He thought he could skate by on Obama nostalgia.
Holding out hope for Bernie here.
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Is he speaking Russian?
Oh man, that explains the delay. Some voter must have the first name '; DROP TABLE voter;
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Think Pete is pretty clearly the big winner regardless of whether he ends up pulling out the win, he’s outperformed pretty strongly. It probably is fatal for Biden, partly for narrative reasons and partly because it’s clear late-deciding voters are breaking sharply against him.
On the other hand, Pete declared victory. So if he loses, it’s going to look quite bad.
Those caucus app screenshots are fake news btw, it’s from the GOP Utah caucuses, I guess from 2016.
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Biden didn’t have a chance in IA anyway due to this being a white midwestern caucus and both of those midwesterners with basically no chance of winning the nomination because they currently combine for roughly 10 black votes are running in his political lane but yes from the narrative perspective this was a disaster for him.
Also I have a rather huge $ swing with pete or bernie so I’m rustled atm.
So it looks like our best indication now is:
Iowa
1A Pete
1B Bernie
3 Warren
4/5 Biden/Klobuchar
So Pete isn’t winning NH, SC or NV, but Biden got crushed in IA and won’t win NH. If Bernie takes NV, and I think he will, it looks like the moderates may still be fighting it out to see who ends up being the last one standing against Bernie.
If Liz can take second in NH, and put up decent showings in SC or NV, she’s still in the mix too and we could end up with Bernie vs Liz which would be great.
Essentially Pete winning here carries him past the next couple of states where he doesn’t have a great chance, hence why he was all-in on Iowa. This is bad news for Biden, which makes it good news for Bernie. We’d obviously rather take first and have Pete in second, but any outcome where there is no clear moderate frontrunner to coalesce around before Super Tuesday is good.
At least that’s what I think I think right now. Obviously trying to game all this out is super confusing.
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