Iowa Caucus Predictions... SEASON Thread

https://mobile.twitter.com/daveweigel/status/1224532959606255616

warren isnā€™t having a good night either btw

https://mobile.twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1224534508009152518

Westwinghawks imo.

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Sheā€™s not doing badly actually

I am getting worried about the lack of results and ā€œquality controlā€ thing.

On MSNBC earlier they were speaking to a non-viable Pete supporter who said she was moving to Yang along with some Bernie defectors - but Bernie was viable in round 1, so she said the Bernie people couldnā€™t stay. It just seemed like there was a lot of confusion about the rules.

On top of that, at a different precinct they showed a group of people trying to calculate how many delegates to award to each candidate based on their vote totals. Again, old people are going to screw that up consistently.

I wouldnā€™t be surprised if there were serious mistakes made in lots of precincts.

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The DNC canceling Iowa caucus is actually drawing live. Or maybe iā€™ve had too many SPIKED SELTZERS (and not the poll kind). This waiting period is killing me. Iowa was already like 95% reported at 2016 at the point. WTF is this QUALITY CONTROL AOIHOINcibweiBNWEIKCBNWECL

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2016 was a LOT easier than this one to run thatā€™s not a fair comp

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Wow, checking in and fuck all of this craziness. Not gonna sweat it, gonna check in in the morning. Hope to see the Bern on top but will take a Biden flop as consolation.

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russian hackers hopefully rigging this shit for berni

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Quality control in polling usually means something is wrong - bad data or actual tabulation issues

First sign Mayor Pete will do wellā€¦ the caucus is held in a wine cave

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This is the oldest democracy in the world, yā€™all.

Has anyone checked in on Tim?

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So thereā€™s a calculation based on how many people show up at a spot to see how many caucusers you need to be ā€œviableā€

Then thereā€™s another calculation based on how many people showed up at your spot and how many people showed up total to figure out how many delegates to award to these ā€œviableā€ candidates?

And the people doing the math at both steps may not know the actual rules? I mean like, I donā€™t, so what are the chances they do?

This somehow seems like both the most transparent and easiest process to screw with at the same time.

isnā€™t it SUSPICIOUS that bernie loves russia so much he honeymooned in moscow, and now russia is hacking the election to support him?

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Iā€™m sure he thinks itā€™s riggedā€¦ :thinking: I mean what else at this time?

Tim timed out waiting for the results

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Yeah. I saw something similar at another precinct. Traditional ranked choice voting seems far superior to this setup.

Apparently DNC is saying the quality control thing is about the app used to transmit the results?

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https://twitter.com/ScottMStedman/status/1224533719278481409

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