TX flipping before AZ is bananas.
AZ was the last one I flipped from blue to red. Can see more election day shenanigans plus increased R desperation there as a result of their 2020 results.
The other super unlikely but fun thing to root for is Trump winning the popular vote but losing the EC. Poly gives it a 2% chance right now, seems a bit undervalued.
Would love this but even 2% seems high
Dems really need a new LBJ imo.
Want to see something wild, check out Clinton’s 1992 map. No idea how this happened (gestures at US history before and since).
Oh and Obama won Indiana his first election IIRC.
Iowa, Louisiana, Montana, Kentucky is fucking crazy
This is pretty much what Im feeling with NC Red and NV a straight toss up
I’m banking on Robinson dragging Trump to a loss in NC.
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Fair
Missouruh too
Read my lips
Ultimately I just want people to have a fun time at the polls
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If I had to pick one I would just duplicate this. My election guess is that there will be some systematic polling error oversampling republicans. Voting eligible turnout takes a big dive from 2020 and will be less then 60%, with white non-college voters down to about 40% of the electorate. I am guessing that Harris gets 2% or more then most polling averages nationally.
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